2013 LSB Over/Under Predictions Contest Results

Jeff Bottari

We have a winner!

Back in March, Adam posted this year's Over/Under contest where the person who got the most right received a copy of the 2013 Baseball Prospectus book.

After a few months of offseason, we realized we should probably post the results!

Congratulations to txranfanted who got 32 of 44 (42 possible with two pushes) correct. Next closest was only 28.

Here's a spreadsheet of everyone's score, and below are the questions and results.

Question 1 Guesses Values
Mitch Moreland Plate Appearances 68 518
Lance Berkman Plate Appearances 73 294
Question 2 Guesses Values
Derek Holland Wins 33 10
Matt Harrison Wins 107 0
Question 3 Guesses Values
Nelson Cruz HRs 76 27
Ian Kinsler HRs 65 13
Question 4 Guesses Values
Leonys Martin SBs 61 36
Craig Gentry SBs 80 24
Question 5 Guesses Values
Derek Holland's ERA - 1 73 2.42
Yu Darvish's ERA 68 2.83
Question 6 Guesses Values
Derek Holland ERA 70 3.42
Derek Holland FIP 68 3.44
Question 7 Guesses Values
Martin Perez IP 38 124.1
Robbie Ross IP 101 62.1
Question 8 Guesses Values
Yu Darvish Ks 92 277
Lance Berkman H + BB 46 100
Question 9 Guesses Values
Nelson Cruz Ks 32 109
Matt Harrison Ks 105 12
Question 10 Guesses Values
Joe Nathan BBs 32 22
Ian Kinsler SBs 106 15
Question 11 Guesses Values
Adrian Beltre HRs 38 32
Elvis Andrus doubles 99 17
Question 12 Guesses Values
Leonys Martin SBs 45 36
Ian Kinsler HRs 93 13
Question 13 Guesses Values
Mitch Moreland XBs * 10 34 480
David Murphy Pas 104 476
Question 14 Guesses Values
Elvis Andrus SBs 95 42
Craig Gentry UZR/150 43 32.1
Question 15 Guesses Values
Ian Kinsler CS 74 11
David Murphy SB 64 1
Question 16 Guesses Values
Craig Gentry RBIs 117 22
Geovany Soto XBHs 21 18
Question 17 Guesses Values
Elvis Andrus runs score 104 91
Rangers wins 35 91
Question 18 Guesses Values
Justin Grimm IP 69 89.0
Neftali Feliz IP 70 4.2
Question 19 Guesses Values
Adrian Beltre BBs 64 50
Joakim Soria IP 74 23.2
Question 20 Guesses Values
Mitch Moreland PAs / 2 114 259
Jeff Baker PAs 24 175
Question 21 Guesses Values
Leury Garcia SBs 114 5
Nelson Cruz SBs 25 1
Question 22 Guesses Values
Jason Frasor saves 82 0
Robbie Ross saves 56 0
Question 23 Guesses Values
Lance Berkman OPS + 100 99 .800
Ian Kinsler Home OPS 38 .779
Question 24 Guesses Values
Mitch Moreland Doubles 79 24
Lance Berkman HRs 57 6
Question 25 Guesses Values
Joe Nathan Saves 86 43
Yu Darvish Wins + Matt Harrison Wins 53 13
Question 26 Guesses Values
Michael Kirkman IP + Josh Lindblom IP + Tanner Scheppers IP + Joe Ortiz IP 35 177.2
Alexi Ogando IP 104 104.1
Question 27 Guesses Values
Craig Gentry PAs 107 287
Jeff Baker PAs + Leury Garcia PAs 31 232
Question 28 Guesses Values
Total Number of SPs Used 69 11
Stolen Bases by David Murphy 69 1
Question 29 Guesses Values
Elvis Andrus GIDP 50 19
Ian Kinsler GIDP 88 5
Question 30 Guesses Values
Elvis Andrus SHs 53 16
Adrian Beltre SFs + Nelson Cruz SFs + Mitch Moreland SFs 84 14
Question 31 Guesses Values
Adrian Beltre IBBs 105 12
Lance Berkman IBBs 32 3
Question 32 Guesses Values
Total IBBs issued 55 35
Total IBBs received 83 26
Question 33 Guesses Values
David Murphy UZR 32 11.0
Ian Kinsler UZR 107 -1.0
Question 34 Guesses Values
Absolute Value of Nelson Cruz UZR * 2 36 8.6
Adrian Beltre UZR 103 -1.2
Question 35 Guesses Values
Elvis Andrus UZR - Ian Kinsler UZR 100 5.6
Adrian Beltre UZR - Elvis Andrus UZR 39 -6.8
Question 36 Guesses Values
Derek Holland FIP 65 3.44
Matt Harrison FIP 73 5.20
Question 37 Guesses Values
Derek Holland ERA - FIP 62 -0.02
Matt Harrison FIP - ERA 76 -3.24
Question 38 Guesses Values
A.J. Pierzynski OPS 88 .722
Elvis Andrus OPS 51 .659
Question 39 Guesses Values
Adrian Beltre OPS - Mitch Moreland OPS 44 .144
A.J. Pierzynski OPS - Geovany Soto OPS 95 -.072
Question 40 Guesses Values
Adrian Beltre RBIs 91 92
Elvis Andrus Runs 46 91
Question 41 Guesses Values
Craig Gentry SLG 50 .386
Lance Berkman OBP 89 .340
Question 42 Guesses Values
Jurickson Profar ABs 87 286
Mike Olt PAs 51 0
Question 43 Guesses Values
Craig Gentry Triples 108 4
Mike Olt HRs 31 0
Question 44 Guesses Values
Nick Tepesch IP 106 93.0
Josh Lindblom IP 35 31.1
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