On Miguel Cabrera, Johan Santana, and Texas
Jon Heyman has an item up about the Angels' pursuit of Miguel Cabrera, and the Marlins' demands.
The Angels apparently offered Howie Kendrick, Jeff Mathis, either Nick Adenhart or Ervin Santana, and a "mid-level" prospect for Cabrera. The Marlins came back asking for both Adenhart and Santana (supposedly at the request of owner Jeff Lorie), which has stalemated talks.
The Rangers have supposedly been talking to Florida as well, according to Heyman...and realistically, the Rangers could match what the Marlins are asking for from Anaheim.
Ian Kinsler, Gerald Laird, and two out of Brandon McCarthy, Eric Hurley, and Edinson Volquez gets you about equal to the package requested from the Angels. The issue then, of course, is whether you think you could sign Cabrera long-term, since you don't want to give up a package like that for a guy who you'll only have for 2 years when (everyone all together now) the team is in rebuilding mode.
Along the same lines, the Rangers could trump the offers from Boston and New York for Johan Santana, if they wished (and they've supposedly been talking to the Twins, as well)...
Boston is offering Jacoby Ellsbury or Jon Lester, but not both, along with Jed Lowrie and a prospect (and are willing to kick in Coco Crisp if the Twins take Lester instead of Ellsbury). New York supposedly is offer Philip Hughes, Melky Cabrera, and a prospect (but not Alan Horne, Ian Kennedy, or Austin Jackson).
Now, if the Rangers were so inclined, they could offer Kinsler, and two guys from a mix of McCarthy, Hurley, Volquez, and C.J. Wilson. Conceivably, you could also kick in an Engel Beltre or a Kasey Kiker, to sweeten the pot.
Again, though, the question is whether it makes sense to give up that much talent for Santana, along with whether Santana would waive his no-trade clause to come to Texas, and how much Texas would have to pony up to get him to agree to an extension.
But the pieces are there to make a deal.
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Comments
AJM
Does the baseball world view CJ Wilson as an equal with McCarthy, Hurley and Volquez? Do they view him as a starter? I'm confused about CJ Wilson I guess. Does he have a perceived high ceiling like the other three?
C.J. Wilson
I don't know who of that group Florida would want. But they are going to want good, major league ready pitching, and I think those 4 are the ones who would interest Florida the most.
by Adam J. Morris on Dec 2, 2007 6:12 PM CST up reply actions
Adam
5 years...
Or a 5 year extension?
And for how much?
by Adam J. Morris on Dec 2, 2007 6:17 PM CST up reply actions
Including 2008
CJ Wilson
He's said in his blog he enjoys the NL Rules, and in college he played on the field as well as being a pitcher...
i might be completely wrong here...but it seems to me that the Marlins might value him higher than other teams in that aspect.
i'm no expert though.
by Sobetan610 on Dec 2, 2007 10:05 PM CST up reply actions
Sound analysis
by inactive lsb user on Dec 3, 2007 11:59 AM CST up reply actions
heh
but yeah
by Sobetan610 on Dec 3, 2007 4:51 PM CST up reply actions
I think
Why even make a trade?
+1
by Jukebox Joe on Dec 2, 2007 7:17 PM CST up reply actions
Blalock
Blalock
Besides, Minnesota is likely going to have Brendan Harris or Nick Punto at 3B, especially if they got Kinsler.
And the Marlins didn't want Blalock and his salary 2 years ago...they certainly won't now...
by Adam J. Morris on Dec 2, 2007 6:39 PM CST up reply actions
Or better yet....
If we can get D. Willis for Salty, Davis, and gabbard.
I know we're giving up A LOT of prospects but I think we just solidify our rotation for years to come. We also get to keep our best pitching prospects.
Our rotation:
Santana
D. Willis
Millwood
BMac
Padilla
Our top 10 prospects that we'd have left are:
- Hurley
- Andrus
- Kiker
- Teag
- Main
- Beaven
- Duran
- Beltre
- Max Ramirez
- Poveda
Andrus and Duran are SS & 2B prospects and one of them can be the future to take Kinsler's spot or if Andrus is the real deal and better defensive SS. We can hopefully move Young back to 2B.
C we have Teag and we can keep Laird.
1B is still a weakness (Davis could've helped in the future).
OF is still a weakness but we didn't trade any OF prospects so we're still in the same situation.
Would you do these trades and are they real options?????
Dontrelle Willis
by Adam J. Morris on Dec 2, 2007 6:45 PM CST up reply actions
Well he's only 25
Now....
If that's too much for Willis, obviously it would be better to get him for less. Now my question is. What type of package would it take to get him and would we do it?
I've got no interest in Willis
He's a free agent after 2009, and I wouldn't want to commit to a long-term deal for him right now, which means you'd be trading him expecting to win in the next two years.
Doesn't make sense.
by Adam J. Morris on Dec 2, 2007 6:52 PM CST up reply actions
i don't understand...
i mean... wouldn't it be harder to compete in 2010 if we start trading off all the talent we just acquired last summer?
you seem to have all the right answers, morris...
please, enlighten me...
by oc on Dec 2, 2007 7:00 PM CST up reply actions
Huh?
by Adam J. Morris on Dec 2, 2007 7:07 PM CST up reply actions
no, fool...
what's the purpose of this diary? there's no point in trading for santana or cabrera... so why talk about it?
it's like you're saying... "hey! our weeny is just as big as the sox and yanks..."
please... the objective this team set in motion last summer was to begin building from within. stick the course.
after all... our "target" year is still a year or two off.
daniels needs to glue his telephone to the receiver. we have all of '08 to start evaluating the new/next crop.
by oc on Dec 2, 2007 7:34 PM CST up reply actions
Well...
To talk about something I thought was interesting.
by Adam J. Morris on Dec 2, 2007 7:36 PM CST up reply actions
it isn't interesting...
do we really need cabrera? i don't think so. and we're pretty much screwed out of the johan sweepstakes if he goes to boston or new york...
by oc on Dec 2, 2007 7:48 PM CST up reply actions
It is interesting
You are right we don't need anything the Rangers are a great team that has just come off winning 5 WS in a row.
If there is a player out there that can make the Rangers a better team now and in the next few years when they are competing I want JD to explore all options.
I don't know about you but I'm tired of losing year in and year out and speaking as a season ticket holder it is rough to go out to every game and think man wait until next year.
I'm not saying the Rangers should get Cabera or Santana just explore the options and if the price is right go for it.
dude...
but, john hart ultimately ruined this team, and before last year, jon daniels had done little to fix it...
here's the reality of the situation... it's going to take an impossible return to land santana or cabrera... and SHOULD it happen... you're now short two or three young arms and a position player here or there.
and while we might have plenty of depth in the infield and at catcher... you can never... NEVER... have too much pitching...
the best that you can hope for is that johan santana pitches his last game in '08 in twinkie pinstripes and that tom hicks offers him a 7-year contract for $175 million next november.
by oc on Dec 2, 2007 8:29 PM CST up reply actions
Well you and I can agree
I never said trade for Santana I just said you have to explore it. I do think JD has the Rangers on the right path.
Not my call
by Ed Coffin on Dec 2, 2007 6:54 PM CST up reply actions
i dont think santana is realistic
and does he have a no trade clause? i know he wants out of minny, but to go to a contender.. not a team that won 75 games.
cabrera you would have for two years and could probably get a big chunk of your value back at the deadline in a year and a half if things arnt working out and you cant sign him, so hes pretty interesting. seems strange to trade away tex and then get the same situation back 6 months later though.
although i suppose if we give up less for cabrera then we got for tex, youve made a nice net gain.
agree
I concur. Any trade for Santana would need to be made contingent on him signing a long-term extension with Texas. But, barring the Rangers throwing an A-Rod type contract at him or something, why does anyone think Santana would agree to sign away his free agency years to pitch for Texas when he's never lived in the area, doesn't know his teammates, the manager or the front office, and would be playing in a hitter's park for a team with no history of success? Why would he do that? Would you if you were Santana?
the course
Right
by Brett Perryman on Dec 2, 2007 7:57 PM CST up reply actions
Patience
Patience is boring, but it is a virtue.
I don't want a trade
by Brett Perryman on Dec 2, 2007 8:00 PM CST up reply actions
No Trades EVER AGAIN
JD has added tremendous depth, but the real gems may surprise us all, they usually do.
Many times in investing (and trading) the best deals are the ones you don't make.
No thanks...
Cabrera/Santana
I think the Marlins would prefer to have Wilson and Hurley as the pitching component. McCarthy and Volquez are probably viewed as flawed by other organizations at this point.
by Randy Richardson on Dec 2, 2007 8:47 PM CST reply actions
worth trying
by lexrob on Dec 2, 2007 8:49 PM CST reply actions
the only way...
either winning the wild-card, or the AL west...
winning three division series games... which we've never done...
... then taking the ALCS to game 6...
(shakes head)
the only way santana ends up in Ranger blue is next fall when Tommy Boy offers him a contract more lucrative than A-Rod's...
will Prick Hicks even get a chance to negotiate?... that's the question...
by oc on Dec 2, 2007 8:59 PM CST up reply actions
Santana
by Randy Richardson on Dec 2, 2007 9:06 PM CST up reply actions
is that a fact?
by oc on Dec 2, 2007 9:14 PM CST up reply actions
Santana
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20071130&content_id=2314759&vkey=hotstove2007&fe xt=.jsp
by Randy Richardson on Dec 2, 2007 9:41 PM CST up reply actions
thought exercise
i agree
by Sobetan610 on Dec 2, 2007 10:38 PM CST up reply actions
Concur...
No
Cabrera has the potential to be a cancer in any locker room.
Santana is going to want to test free agency.
You are giving up a lot with very guaranteed. A good team is equal to the sum of its parts, not the value of its best player.
Cancer
I was wondering who you think is more cancerous though, ARod or Cabrera? Feel free to project 5+ years out for either, assuming that cancer grows ...
by inactive lsb user on Dec 2, 2007 10:48 PM CST up reply actions
cabrera
by lexrob on Dec 2, 2007 11:10 PM CST up reply actions
Am I the only one
Okay, Crazy :)
If they think he can come all the way back at or before mid-season, they have a shot to win it all with him and Johan anchoring the top of the rotation.
If it looks like it's gonna have to wait until '08 (or, you know, NEVER) for Liriano to come all the way back, they might as well trade Johan while the trading is good since they probably won't have a realistic shot at winning it all this year.
by thedirkatron on Dec 3, 2007 12:27 AM CST up reply actions
the reports on Liriano
Bedard Has No Interest In Extension With O's?
What are you smoking?
vs.
Howie Kendrick, Jeff Mathis, either Nick Adenhart or Ervin Santana
Kendrick's ceiling is much higher than Kinsler. Kendrick has been hampered by freak injuries and is still a year younger than Kinsler. Laird will be in his 5th season...2 years from being arbitration eligible. Mathis hasn't even played a full season yet and is 4 years younger than Laird.
by akathelorax @ Lone Star Ball on Dec 2, 2007 11:51 PM CST reply actions
It's weird.
-Laird is 3 years away from free agency (he has 3+ years of service time) instead of 2 years.
-Mathis is 5 years away from free agency (he just accumulated > 1 years worth last year, though he is a small amount above 1 year, though Laird is the same for 3 years).
-Mathis is 3 1/2 years younger than Laird and if you measure by age as of June 30th (which is how you typically measure major league age seasons), he's actually only "three" years younger than Laird.
I agree that Mathis is significantly better than Laird, but the small errors in your favor make your argument seem not as strong.
JMO,
Req
OT...
Nevermind Johan Santana
"UPDATE, 12-3-07 at 12:02am: Not only will Johan veto any midseason deal, he'll veto any deal to a team other than the Yankees or Red Sox."
by subsidiarity on Dec 3, 2007 1:11 AM CST reply actions
Sorry, that was MLB Trade Rumors,
by subsidiarity on Dec 3, 2007 1:13 AM CST reply actions
Both?
Let's say we offer McCarthy, Wilson, Kiker, Andrus, and Kinsler for Santana. Then we offer Salty, Hurley, Volquez for MCab. Would that be enough assuming Santana vetos his no trade clause and re-signs a long term deal?
If so, the Rangers would be in win now mode and would probably over pay for Rowand and Fukudome. Arias at second and Laird at catcher would be the only holes in the lineup as far as I can see.
Pure fantasy of course, but hey, a man can dream can't he.
Derek
Note
MCAB
Even then it might not be possible. If it was, I actually would do both deals even though it destroys the farm system. Prospects are a means to an end and if we can get 2 all-stars and lock them up for years to come, then I would do it. I'm tired of losing.
Again this is pure fantasy but it does show how far our farm system has come.
Derek
If you can sign to a long-term deal
by mikedallas23 @ Lone Star Ball on Dec 3, 2007 8:58 AM CST reply actions
Santana & Cabrera
The Ranger do not have the can't miss, blue-chip, star prospects that most teams require when they trade away their best players. Perhaps I am overvaluing a player like Hughes but top of the rotation starters aren't made available very often. Question: If Hughes and Melky were offered for Tex, would you rather have that package or the package of players from ATL?
I think your assessment is dead on
I doubt we have lots of top 50 minor leaguers, but I think we have quite a few 50-200 guys.
Santana agreeing to a long-term extension
He wouldn't
not to mention...
Contract
by mikedallas23 @ Lone Star Ball on Dec 3, 2007 9:58 AM CST up reply actions

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