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Patton

Astros are bringing up pitching prospect Troy Patton against Pittsburgh this Saturday.  Minor league numbers this year:
AAA
4-2 4.59ERA  49IP  44H  25ER  11BB  25K  WHIP:1.12
AA
6-6 2.99ERA  102.1IP  96H  34ER  32BB  68K WHIP:1.26

So for shits and grins, I figured (since everyone on here knows I am an avid Hurley supporter), why not compare the two:
AAA
4-6  3.88ERA  65IP  51H  28ER  22BB  55K WHIP:1.12
AA
7-2  3.25ERA  88.2IP  71H  32ER  27BB  76K  WHIP:1.11

Totals Comparison:
Totals (For Patton):
10-8  3.52ERA  151.1IP  140H  59ER  43BB  93K  WHIP:1.21 BAA: 2.47
Totals (For Hurley):
11-8  3.52ERA  153.2IP  122H  60ER  49BB  131K  WHIP:1.17 BAA: 2.17

Hmmm..... numbers are EXTREMELY comparable with Hurley coming out on top.  If it's ok for Houston to do it being out of the race, why not Texas?

Oh Lord, cue the dumbass 40 man arguments.  Looks like Houston sure doesn't have a problem adding their number one pitching prospect to the 40 man roster out of the race.

Houston's record (57-71)
Texas's record (56-71)

0 recs  |  Comment 32 comments

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Haigwood......
I'm not sure but I know he is in the East Coast League with his '07 numbers of:
4-5  4.84ERA  74.1IP  72H  40ER  45BB  81K's

I'll pass.

by bigups41 on Aug 24, 2007 4:01 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

smallish sample size...
...but those peripherals aren't pristine by any means
Lick by lick, mountains erode

by RangerMoto on Aug 24, 2007 4:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

We lost him...
because there wasn't any room on the 40 man roster for him.

by benmor78 on Aug 24, 2007 4:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

the 40
trumps all!
Saltalamacchia: The world's first 5A player.

by thedirkatron on Aug 24, 2007 4:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

isn't that...
...the slogan that Eddie Griffin lived his life by?
Lick by lick, mountains erode

by RangerMoto on Aug 24, 2007 4:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, in fairness, Haigwood does suck
But we also have lost guys like Duchscherer because we mismanaged the 40 in the past.

by Brett Perryman on Aug 24, 2007 6:49 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Astros
Just because they are doing something doesn't make it right.  In fact, the fact that they are doing something is usually a very good reason NOT to do the same thing...

by JBImaknee on Aug 24, 2007 4:13 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Astros
The Astros also have the worst farm system in all of baseball. I don't mean one of the worst, I mean #30. Outside of Patton and Towles, they don't have a single prospect. Those are the only two players they have that would be in the top 20 in the Rangers system. They won't have any problem fitting their prospects on the 40 because no one is going to want to take any of the spares that make up their minor league system.

by uthornfan on Aug 24, 2007 4:39 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Oh yeah
Patton is not near the prospect Hurley is. Patton profiles as a #3 starter, Hurley profiles as a #2. While Patton throws in the upper 80s and occasionally touches 90 or 91, Hurley sits in the low to mid 90s. Patton has a very inconsistent loopy curveball, Hurley and has a sharp slider. About the only thing they have in common is that they both have developing changeups that could become plus pitches.

by uthornfan on Aug 24, 2007 4:44 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

why rush him
and to top it off, we have a couple of guys who are pittchers we need to know about

anyway at this point in time, why would we bring up hurley over volquez?

give hurley the rest of the year at AAA. honestly, who here thinks he will succeed at the major leaveue level if thrown into the rotation today?

by knockoutking24 on Aug 24, 2007 4:59 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

The Astros...
... have eight potential free agents this winter plus dead weight like Stephen Randolph plus fewer prospects coming on line.  Which makes this statement...

Looks like Houston sure doesn't have a problem adding their number one pitching prospect to the 40 man roster out of the race.

...quite lame.

by Lucas on Aug 24, 2007 5:07 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

The Astros
Well I`ve bit my tongue and had acouple of beers. Lucas, that`s just plain idiotic. With that many free agents they`re going to have to be creative this off season, why fill a spot on the 40 unnecessarly. Why , they must think he can compete that`s the bottom line.
Speaking of dead weight we have Hairston, Wright and Sosa.
And last, everybody believes that your best players must come through AAA and if that`s the case OKC won the season series against Round Rock 8-7, I don`t think that`s domination if Houston has no prospects.
And somebody else mentioned if the Astros did it, it must be wrong!
Just how many times in the last few years they have been to the play offs. And they were smart enough to build a field with a ROOF.  

by 82Cardinals on Aug 24, 2007 8:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

OK
Go ahead and list all the prospects Houston has floating around their minor league system. After Patton and Towles, they have no one at all. They win at AAA because they have a bunch of four A players like Eric Bruntlett, Stephen Randolph and Eric Munson that bounce back and forth between Houston and Round Rock.

The fact that Houston is rushing a pitcher to the major leagues, when his lack of strikeouts in the minor leagues and lack of any plus offerings are huge red flags, doesn't mean the Rangers should rush Hurley. He is still just 21, hasn't completely mastered his changeup and frankly hasn't pitched all that great in AAA. If Hurley was doing at AAA what Volquez is doing you would have an argument, but until his last start he had an ERA of over 4.00. How do you think a AAA pitcher with an ERA of over 4.00 is going to do at the majors?

by uthornfan on Aug 24, 2007 8:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

'82
Is that the last time you said something that made sense?
Signature

by t ball on Aug 24, 2007 9:34 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just a couple!!!!
Botts has been up and down a couple of times as well as Byrd and Diaz and I wouln`t call them AAAA players.
Would you call Danks season successful? I would, and he had a 4.33 ERA last year in AAA.

by 82Cardinals on Aug 24, 2007 9:33 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

One last time
This is to all the people out there that sit behind a computer and look at a players numbers and dissect them every way possible to tell if a player can succeed.
I`m old school,go watch them,and more than once.
I`m also glad that the Rangers must see something that a computer can`t see when you call up a AA outfielder hitting .242 gets promoted to AAA and a couple weeks later you see them in the big leagues,or an infielder hitting .280 at AA getting a call to the big leagues,and then being sent back down to AAA to hit .148 and they call him back to the bigs and he has 8 RBI in a DH.
I`ve seen many of the Rangers young pitchers multiple times and I`m impressed in what I`ve seen.
Things you don`t see in a box score, here`s a few examples:
How they carry themselves with men on
How do they handle giving up a homerun in a tight game
Are they hitting their spots and a batter cheated and gets a hit
Groundballs hit soft or hard
Flyouts to the infield or outfield, fair or foul
The wind, blowing in or out, how hard
Will he challenge a hitter in a hitter`s count
Will he throw inside
What`s he like off the field
Is he a student of the game

I`ve seen Patton and Hurley a few times and I think they both will be successful big league pitchers if they continue to make adjustments and stay healthy.
Baseball is about cotinually making adjustments from rookie ball all the way to, and in the big leagues.
Those that don`t make the adjustments will eventually fail.
I`m all for Hurley getting to the big leagues as soon as possible so he can get an early jump in making some of those adjustments.
Andy Hawkins once said "you can`t learn it all in the minors,some you just have to learn when you get there".    

by 82Cardinals on Aug 24, 2007 11:25 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Hey asshole
there is quite a few people here at LSB that go to the Rangers minor league games in Frisco and Oklahoma. Oh just STFU. ZZZZ SNOOZE ZZZZ
Loves me some Hurley

by hurlerhurley on Aug 24, 2007 11:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm pretty sure
that noone is really arguing with you about whether either of those guys are going to be good players.  

They are just giving you good, sound reasons why Houston can afford to waste a 40-man spot on Patton right now and why Texas would be wise to wait until next spring.

I think they should wait, but I'm no expert on these matters.  However, if there is an expert on this matter here, its Lucas.

by badradiorules on Aug 24, 2007 11:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Patton and Hurley
HurlerHurley, been to Clinton or Bakersfield?
Lucas can`t say that Patton and Towles are the only good prospects in the Astros org.
I`ve seen Douglas and Santangelo play and they are very good players.
Too many people put way to much stock in BA rankings of minor league players because they rely heavily on talking to scouts and stats versus actually seeing many of the players they rank.
Now I`m not saying they don`t see players, but guys like Sickels probably actually see more minor league players than the BA group.

by 82Cardinals on Aug 24, 2007 11:54 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Oh, no...
has wufdog finally migrated here?

by benmor78 on Aug 25, 2007 12:00 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hasn't Wufdog
ruined enough boards with his pointless stupidity?

by DJCahill on Aug 25, 2007 5:43 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've been to Clinton 4 times.
Never been to see a Blaze game.

Been to quite a few frisco games. Probably around 120 maybe. Redhawks games maybe around 60. I've had some fun at AA and AAA

Loves me some Hurley

by hurlerhurley on Aug 25, 2007 12:19 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Which LSBer...
has the most minor-league street cred?

by benmor78 on Aug 25, 2007 12:38 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah...
but the issue isn't whether Hurley will be on the 40 man next season, but in the offseason.

by benmor78 on Aug 25, 2007 1:22 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here's the problem
Back to my point regarding the original diary post, it's too simple to say "Patton's up, so Hurley should be up."   Houston is in a much different situation.  They have more free agents, fewer prospects, and many of those prospects (Gutierrez, Paulino, now Patton) are already on the 40.  

Conversely, Texas has 43 players on its 40-man roster (including restricted players and those on the 60-day DL).  Wright, Hairston, Sosa and Wilkerson are obvious deletions.  Drop them and you're still looking at 39.  Add in four must-keep Rule-5 eligibles (Diamond, Boggs, Harrison, Ramirez) and we're back up to 43.  Maybe Omar Beltre and Alexi Ogando won't have to be reinstated, or maybe Texas cuts bait.  That's 41.    Cutting Guzman, Diaz and Vazquez won't hurt, but someone has to fill the role of backup outfielder / AAA insurance.  

Short story long:  unlike Houston (as best as I can tell), Texas has a tight roster situation, and adding Hurley now just makes it worse.  (Actually, Borbon made it worse, but that's another story.)  If Hurley pitches well enough to force Texas's hand next spring, so be it.  Deal with it then.  

by Lucas on Aug 25, 2007 1:34 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Diamond
A team could select him, and stash him on the 60 day d.l. all season.  They'd then have to keep him on the active roster for a certain amount of time in 2009 (45 or 60 days, I think), but then they could send him down.

I think the Red Sox had a similar situation with Adam Stern a few years ago, where he spent much of the year on the d.l. the year he was drafted, and had to spend 2-3 weeks on the active roster at the beginning of the following year before he could be sent down.

When the Reds selected Luke Prokopec in 2001, it was with that in mind...he'd spend the whole 2002 season on the 60 day d.l. rehabbing, then (ideally) be able to come back in 2003 and give them a couple of months out of the pen before being sent back down.

by Adam J. Morris on Aug 25, 2007 11:31 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Edit
Prokopec was selected in 2002, not 2001.  Adjust the years accordingly.

by Adam J. Morris on Aug 25, 2007 11:33 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

rule 5
thats what i was thinking as well. i remember learning about the different ways you can stash rule 5 guys from the whole castro fiasco
Can you please Look into getting a less funny signature? That's sarcasm, btw. - Sharky

by rentz on Aug 25, 2007 11:33 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah
at the time, i brought it up to evan grant in a chat and he mentioned it's been done before but i think he mentioned the league is cracking down on that sort of thing. but i think it's more of trying to hide a guy with a false injury is being cracked down on.

either way it's a risk leaving him open to the rule 5 draft. im curious to hear jamey's take on this.

Can you please Look into getting a less funny signature? That's sarcasm, btw. - Sharky

by rentz on Aug 25, 2007 1:02 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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