Jon Heyman, crotchety old man
About half of Jon Heyman's mailbag column today involves criticism of his MVP and Cy Young choices by statheads, and Heyman responds in crotchy old man manner:
-- Carolyn, Boca Raton, Fla.
Actually, you're right. That's exactly what I did, and how I came up with Prince Fielder as my NL MVP leader. His "good'' year is actually more than good, and the Brewers are right in the thick of the playoff race. While I understand your sentiments, I am more interested in "wins created'' than runs created. And the day I consider VORP is the day I get out of the business. The idea of the MVP is to honor the player who has had the biggest positive impact on the pennant races. I have been a big champion for Ramirez, but I would not consider him a true candidate to win the MVP award.
* * *
Also, VORP (one of those spooky, newfangled computer stats) has Kelvim Escobar first, followed by Santana, Bedard and Haren. Beckett is a distant seventh.
--Rob, Southington, Conn.
There goes that VORP again. When the standings are determined by VORP, I think I will take it more seriously. But as you know, they still go by wins and losses.
Sigh.
Here's the irony.
Prince Fielder's team isn't even doing particularly well right now. Prince Fielder's team, in many years, wouldn't really be a playoff contender. But because the rest of the N.L. Central has been terrible, the .500 Brewers are hanging around and are still in the race.
By Heyman's logic, if the Cubs were 10 games up on the Brewers, Fielder, his top choice, wouldn't be a viable MVP candidate. But since no one has been able to pull away, and the Brewers are 1.5 games back, Fielder deserves the MVP.
I guess the problem with David Wright --a guy who, at .319/.413/.535, 28 of 32 on steals, and quality defense at third base, has been clearly better than Prince Fielder this year -- is that the Mets are far enough ahead in the N.L. East, his performance isn't having enough of an impact on a pennant race.
By Heyman's logic, the best player in baseball on a team that wins 110 games and is 20 games up on the 2nd place team is less deserving of an MVP vote than a decent player on a team that makes it into the playoffs by 1 game.
I'd also like Heyman to explain why, if he won't take VORP seriously because "they still go by wins and losses" in the standings, and not VORP, why he considers anything other than a pitcher's won/loss record in voting for the Cy Young Award. I mean, it isn't as if you should look at ERA, or strikeouts, or anything like that, since they go by wins and losses, not ERA, in the standings.
This is a perfect example of why the BBWAA awards have became such a traveshamockery.
60 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
I like it
Maybe
by Ed Coffin on Aug 28, 2007 1:19 AM CDT up reply actions
Heyman's answer
Also, I have a sense that Heyman would agree with your assertion that "the best player in baseball on a team that wins 110 games and is 20 games up on the 2nd place team is less deserving of an MVP vote than a decent player on a team that makes it into the playoffs by 1 game."
Pretty bad
There's also someone that like minded over at the WWL. Can anyone guess who it is?
Eric (NYC): Ok [name redacted], "bold predictions" time. Who are your AL and NL MVP's? I've got A-Rod beating Ordonez, and Holliday edging out Prince.
[ESPN analyst]: I have A-Rod and Ordonez neck and neck. If the Yankees win the East and the Tigers win the Central then I give it to A-Rod. But I need to see what team finishes the highest.
MVP, Cy Young, and VORP
MVP should include raw numbers, processed stats, and other things not captured by stats. Just because you can't quantify some things doesn't mean they don't matter. And it is that mindset which causes non-stat people to get angry at anything more sophisticated than batting average.
I don't think...
However, I think what is frustrating is when you have people dismissing stats like VORP or EQA as being the product of nerds with calculators who need to go watch the game, and then use something like RBIs or win totals as a huge factor in voting for an award.
by Adam J. Morris on Aug 27, 2007 4:42 PM CDT up reply actions
I agree of course
But saying that this guy is more valuable because he finished ahead of another guy in any stat is a weak claim - the noise associated with almost any statistic in baseball is so great that unless you've got about a several percent lead over the guy below you, it is hard to really be significant. And I think that the sportswriters out there are rebelling against that more than anything else (they are just doing a poor job because they shrowd this argument in "I'm too dumb to understand it".) It was a lot harder to rest an argument on just one number when there were 3 used to evaluate any given player.
Why dont we just make up
by Pitcher15 on Aug 27, 2007 5:08 PM CDT up reply actions
Esoteric -
by Pitcher15 on Aug 27, 2007 6:05 PM CDT up reply actions
nope
Nope,
by Pitcher15 on Aug 27, 2007 9:42 PM CDT up reply actions
no you're wrong
lol
nope.....im right, thanks.....
and not sure what you were trying to say, but just because you've read a word in a book, doesn't mean you know the definition of the word.....not saying you're right or wrong, because i dont know.....just saying
First of all,
Here is a layman's defintion:
Esoteric does NOT mean obscure. It means something that only few can understand. It is, in fact, very apparent BUT only to the educated. The reason I brought up John Locke is because his writing is a great example of someone writing esoterically. Only the educated understood, not obscure just not playing to ignorance.
A player's esoteric value can best defined and quantified (as ab03 says) by looking at how his teammates view him. It is not obscure at all. We can grasp a little of enough but we are not educated enough to really know. His teammates are. I played with guys in college that performed decently but I KNEW how valuable they were. That is why I think you really have to pay attention to what certain player's teammates say and managers say. Proof enough?
by Pitcher15 on Aug 27, 2007 10:21 PM CDT up reply actions
you told him to read a book
And...
by Pitcher15 on Aug 27, 2007 9:44 PM CDT up reply actions
To quote...
confined to and understandable by only an enlightened inner circle; "a compilation of esoteric philosophical theories"
wordnet.princeton.edu/perl/webwn
Your reply doesn't make any sense...
Hey
There has to be a balance between stats and other things (Sorry it is late and I could not think of a better word and if I did, im sure yall would TRY to say im using it improperly). And believe it or not I AGREE with Adam that Prince Fielder is a rather poor choice for NL MVP. I personally think Jose Reyes is the NL MVP. However, that is simply my opinion.
by Pitcher15 on Aug 27, 2007 10:49 PM CDT up reply actions
Still wrong...
That's idiocy. You said that, in evaluating a player, we have to look at stats and his "esoteric value." Then, you say that you don't know what a player's esoteric value is. Which, interestingly enough, leaves us with stats.
Since you can't even define what constitutes a player's esoteric value, how are we supposed to use it to evaluate them? Apparently, there's some sort of baseball phlogiston that makes a player better and is only apparent to an enlightened inner circle, which, simply, is stupid. First of all, what inner circle is it self-evident to? Is CJ Wilson an effective pitcher because he's a Taoist and focuses his chi? Or is he an effective pitcher because he throws hard and has a good arsenal, and has nice peripherals?
Both.
by Pitcher15 on Aug 27, 2007 11:08 PM CDT up reply actions
Well...
I suppose we should read your position as "those holding press credentials are the only ones who can actually evaluate a player."
Haha,
by Pitcher15 on Aug 27, 2007 11:18 PM CDT up reply actions
And now...
Nah,
by Pitcher15 on Aug 27, 2007 11:28 PM CDT up reply actions
Well...
and the winner is...
Arrogance
Unfortunately, I continued to read the responses hoping that someone so confident of their intellect might use it to formulate a strong retort. Apparently the confidence had no root in reality as Pitcher15's arguments consisted of nothing more than "Nope...I'm right thanks."
There are doctors, lawyers, Ph.D.'s and numerous master degrees held by the posters at LSB. So please, when you post on LSB, expect that there are people who know more than you about the subject you are posting on, and don't respond so arrogantly and negatively to those who question your claims. After all, we've all been wrong at times...most of us are wrong about things rather regularly.
by rangeressary on Aug 28, 2007 9:45 AM CDT up reply actions
What is understandable to absolutely no one
And no matter what esoteric means (I don't know, I'm not one of the few enlightened ones like you), as ab03 says, intangible would have been a much better word choice for your argument.
I think we've met this guy's brother:
http://www.lonestarball.com/comments/2006/9/25/152816/108/72#72
This whole diary was oddly funny, although his bro was co-starring w/ orton1227:
http://www.lonestarball.com/story/2006/9/25/152816/108
Booya!
by Brian Thomas on Aug 28, 2007 8:32 AM CDT up reply actions
Jose Reyes??
He has a teammate who's a MASSIVELY better choice in David Wright.
He has a SS in the same division who's a MASSIVELY better choice in Hanley Ramirez.
But I guess Ramirez doesn't have any "esoteric value" sine his teammates suck worse than Reyes' teammates.
Heheh wow!
:)
by Ed Coffin on Aug 27, 2007 11:04 PM CDT up reply actions
Heymann
they fail to learn. There is more about the game to learn than who's going onto the 40 this winter, how JoeRayBobEd pitched vs. the RedSawkz, and who gets attention on a team exceeding expectations. Call if ignorance of the truly quantified stuff.
Heh ... and I'm no stathead.
by Ed Coffin on Aug 27, 2007 5:03 PM CDT up reply actions
There are 2 things to look at when predicting
Of all the teams finishing near the top, who has the most RBIs. My guess is that has about a 70% chance of predicting the eventual MVP winner.
Isn't that one thing?
by Brian Thomas on Aug 27, 2007 7:58 PM CDT up reply actions
i'll try to answer that...
Second thing: among 1) look at the top RBI man
it's simple
nl mvp = chipper jones
al cy young = johan santana
nl cy young = jake peavy
or maybe not that simple...
how can you call
You've held the stupidest grudge I've ever seen....I forgot the number of yes' and no's to my "Who wanted Carlos Pena" question....and you went Completely Apeshit and took it to heart....it was hilarious....and youve been personally insulting me ever since......in my eyes it wasnt a big deal at all and in your case it ruined your month lmao......
it's ridiculus......just drop it man, i dont feel like dealing with you insulting me over some middle school shit.....so i decided not to insult you back and act like an adult, try it......
what you do to the gameday thread
and i would still like adam to explain what a crotchy old man is.
lol idk what a crotchy old man is
i usually dont even curse besides that night....and everybody was just having fun, most of it was a joke......almost every other post ive contributed to this blog has been respectable.....just for you to insult me like that, when you havent read any of my other posts is just wrong man.....make your mind up, when you actually see me talkin about the game and then if you decide to insult me, I'll respect that
gameday thread
i understand
Jericho Crotchy
Shake The Cane
by patrickindenton @ Lone Star Ball on Aug 27, 2007 5:50 PM CDT reply actions
Very, Very Well Put
The whole concept of MVP is stupid
I wish we could simply have a MBP (most bestest player). Either have MBP replace MVP, or just add it as an additional award.
The whole "valuable to the team" premise is why there ends up being all these asanine, bogus arguments, and also why fools like Justin Morneau end up w/ the award.
"Valuable" is ridiculously subjective. Fuck the MVP...
Hey
At least Justin Morneau was a good player last year. He didn't suck so hard that he made the whole world a worse place to live.
If the MVP voting were like the Oscars, they'd give the award to guys like Chan Ho Park and Jason Kendall on a regular basis.
by thedirkatron on Aug 27, 2007 9:30 PM CDT up reply actions

by 

















