Community projections starting today

by Adam J. Morris on Mar 4, 2008 11:22 AM CST in News

Okay, folks...it is about time to crank up community projections again.

For those who aren't familiar with it, the idea behind community projections is to have all of us here make a projection as to what guys who should be regulars this season will do.

For positional players, we want average, OBP, slugging, and plate appearances, in this format: .XXX/.XXX/.XXX XXX

For starters, we want wins, innings, Ks, and ERA (we didn't do Ks last year, but I figure we'll add them this year).

For ease of tabulating, I'd rather folks not add in stuff like homers, RBIs, etc., and I'd rather not have people comment on other folks' projections within the thread. If you want to discuss the projections, feel free to open up a diary.

At the end of spring training, I'll have Ben add them all up and compare our projections to some other projections that are out there, and then, at the end of the season, see how we did compared to the computers.

Any questions?

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Comments

Who's the first candidate?

Ron Paul 2008 www.ronpaul2008.com

by jshcmp on Mar 4, 2008 11:26 AM CST reply actions

That's a secret

Until about 1 p.m. or so today.

by Adam J. Morris on Mar 4, 2008 11:27 AM CST up reply actions

My money's on Hamilton

Obama - ??? 2008 : He's not Hillary

by RangerMoto on Mar 4, 2008 11:39 AM CST up reply actions

Commenting on projections

Commenting, or asking questions, about the projections makes them more difficult to tabulate?

When someone projects a .550 slugging percentage for David Murphy, I'd like to be able to ask them why.

Pedro: "I wasn't cockfighting, I just have a wide stance."

by tricer on Mar 4, 2008 11:39 AM CST reply actions

Yeah...

it does, to a certain extent. If everyone follows the format and there's no commenting in the thread, it definitely makes it a little easier to tabulate.

"I know you're a bit dense but no, it doesn't. Obviously lying isn't a problem for me."

by benmor78 on Mar 4, 2008 11:43 AM CST up reply actions

too bad

Then we can't make fun of each other. Like when Chris predicted that Soriano would have a .725 OPS after he got traded to the Nationals. That's the fun part!

Ryan Adams is pretty much the Lenny Dykstra of songwriters. - hightowersmith

by trza on Mar 4, 2008 12:08 PM CST up reply actions

Ever considered?

"Make it readable and writable by anyone knowing the URL"

http://www.editgrid.com/site/learn/feature/collaborate

by shroomer on Mar 4, 2008 12:09 PM CST up reply actions

I generally try to do...

...a cut-and-paste, to eliminte transcription errors.

That's harder to do with a lot of discussion in the thread.

It is also harder to cross-check and make sure the number of entries on the spreadsheet equals the number of entries on the blog, since you can't just match up the number of comments to the number of lines on your spreadsheet.

by Adam J. Morris on Mar 4, 2008 12:09 PM CST up reply actions

It would make sense...

possibly in the future if you were able to use OPS instead of OBP and Slugging. puts those two categories in 1. Of course, i'm not sure how all the other projections work, but I thought I would offer up the suggestion.

by NothinG on Mar 4, 2008 11:56 AM CST reply actions

YESSSS!!!

"I think it's clear that he (Michael Young) made sure that the story (CJ's) got out. " - mjh

by Longhorn on Mar 4, 2008 12:50 PM CST reply actions

Here are mine

Name BA/ OBA/ SLG PA
Kinsler .282/.348/.500 632
Bradley .310/.382/.477 502
Young .326/.376/.432 695
Byrd .246/.313/.414 320
Hamilton .316/.382/.591 628
Blalock .285/.342/.541 547
Broussard .237/.300/.434 253
Saltalamacchia .270/.390/.500 503
Botts .279/.341/.456 531

Name Record IP H BB SO ERA
Millwood 15-9 215 203 52 120 3.45
Padilla 12-10 202.2 210 60 140 4.68
McCarthy 14-8 196 185 58 90 3.98
Jennings 9-12 185 206 70 102 5.23
Gabbard 6-7 152 170 43 75 5.07
Wilson 2-2/42 68 60 12 78 2.13

by iblum on Mar 4, 2008 1:22 PM CST reply actions

No Commenting = Weak Sauce

Look out, March. February is engorged and it's poking into you!

by thedirkatron on Mar 4, 2008 2:27 PM CST reply actions

hey Ben

A request: Can you include the standard deviation for each projection again? In some cases that was the most interesting bit of information, to see how much or little consensus there was about a given player.

Ryan Adams is pretty much the Lenny Dykstra of songwriters. - hightowersmith

by trza on Mar 4, 2008 3:26 PM CST reply actions