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Community Projections - Summary / Comparisons

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Okay, so we're about a quarter through the season, and I thought I'd better get the summaries and data up from the community projections.  I've also included, for reference, the projections from Bill James, CHONE, and ZIPS.  No outliers were removed except two from Jason Jennings' thread.

As I did last year, I've also provided standard deviations for our projections.  Standard deviation is a measure of a spread of values. Essentially, in a normal distribution, about 70% of the data points will be within 1 standard deviation from the mean. About 95% of the data points will lie within 2 standard deviations from the mean.  So a larger standard deviation indicates less consensus, smaller indicates more.

Tables and such after the jump...

 

Blalock

Avg Avg '''σ''' OBP OBP '''σ''' SLG SLG '''σ''' PA PA '''σ'''
Community .283 11 .347 13 .502 36 592 74
Bill James .276 .342 .469
CHONE .275 .343 .463
ZIPS .276 .336 .446
to date .299 .365 .460

Botts

Avg Avg '''σ''' OBP OBP '''σ''' SLG SLG '''σ''' PA PA '''σ'''
Community .263 28 .344 41 .431 65 295 107
Bill James .276 .369 .466
CHONE .260 .350 .445
ZIPS .258 .359 .447
to date .158 .304 .395

Byrd

Avg Avg '''σ''' OBP OBP '''σ''' SLG SLG '''σ''' PA PA '''σ'''
Community .267 14 .325 16 .402 25 385 87
Bill James .277 .337 .420
CHONE .275 .337 .428
ZIPS .288 .344 .443
to date .184 .279 .368

Bradley

Avg Avg '''σ''' OBP OBP '''σ''' SLG SLG '''σ''' PA PA '''σ'''
Community .287 11 .375 16 .485 28 430 88
Bill James .302 .391 .508
CHONE .284 .373 .481
ZIPS .261 .348 .407
to date .321 .429 .579

Cat Avg Avg '''σ''' OBP OBP '''σ''' SLG SLG '''σ''' PA PA '''σ'''
Community .285 12 .356 15 .432 24 381 58
Bill James .284 .357 .435
CHONE .277 .353 .428
ZIPS .274 .355 .413
to date .275 .362 .431

Hamilton

Avg Avg '''σ''' OBP OBP '''σ''' SLG SLG '''σ''' PA PA '''σ'''
Community .301 11 .381 17 .566 31 504 56
Bill James .307 .383 .605
CHONE .280 .354 .506
ZIPS .281 .349 .491
to date .319 .369 .604

Kinsler

Avg Avg '''σ''' OBP OBP '''σ''' SLG SLG '''σ''' PA PA '''σ'''
Community .283 16 .364 11 .467 16 618 44
Bill James .273 .350 .458
CHONE .274 .355 .456
ZIPS .269 .345 .440
to date .298 .360 .438

Laird

Avg Avg '''σ''' OBP OBP '''σ''' SLG SLG '''σ''' PA PA '''σ'''
Community .253 22 .311 23 .392 38 344 74
Bill James .252 .308 .400
CHONE .245 .303 .395
ZIPS .249 .305 .391
to date .277 .338 .395

Young

Avg Avg '''σ''' OBP OBP '''σ''' SLG SLG '''σ''' PA PA '''σ'''
Community .312 12 .363 15 .443 24 701 29
Bill James .305 .354 .435
CHONE .305 .358 .443
ZIPS .303 .352 .427
to date .282 .345 .409
Jennings Wins Wins '''σ''' Inng's Inng's '''σ''' K's K's '''σ''' ERA ERA '''σ'''
Community 11 2 169 25 111 19 4.76 0.33
Bill James
7 150 97 5.04
CHONE 132 86 4.64
ZIPS 7 140 99 4.56
to date 0 27.1 12 8.56

McCarthy Wins Wins '''σ''' Inng's Inng's '''σ''' K's K's '''σ''' ERA ERA '''σ'''
Community 8 3 113 40 76 31 4.49 1.11
Bill James
10 176 142 4.30
CHONE 108 75 4.75
ZIPS 8 127 77 4.96
to date 0 0 0 0

Millwood Wins Wins '''σ''' Inng's Inng's '''σ''' K's K's '''σ''' ERA ERA '''σ'''
Community 15 2 197 15 148 19 4.36 .37
Bill James
11 193 145 4.01
CHONE 184 128 4.99
ZIPS 12 189 135 4.52
to date 2 48 29 4.88

Padilla Wins Wins '''σ''' Inng's Inng's '''σ''' K's K's '''σ''' ERA ERA '''σ'''
Community 13 3 181 19 139 30 4.58 0.42
Bill James
6 120 82 4.5
CHONE 149 96 5.3
ZIPS 10 172 112 4.92
to date 6 62.2 41 3.16