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Series Preview: Texas Rangers @ Philadelphia Phillies - The New Boyfriend

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You're going to smile that smile, but I know it's not for us anymore. You're going to shake hands with Ian Kinsler. You're going to ask, "Hey, where's Tommy and Josh?" You'll probably share a knowing, but awkward hug with C.J. Wilson. We'll wonder if you're happy, though rhetorically. Of course you are. Not that it matters too much. You probably have a couple of those new enormous paychecks, your ace-laying poker buddies in Philly, and that nice weather your wife was so worried about. Those World Series promises are as faded as an oft-washed Claw and Anters T-Shirt.

If it feels like going over to an exes apartment to pick up some CDs and a toothbrush while the guy she left you for is over tooling around on his guitar in front of you, it's because that's exactly what it is. And so, we have two options here. 1: Leave an upper-decker in the bathroom. 2: Tell the new guy that yes you've heard of his band and yes he does play a pretty mean bass. Sure, the highroad seems like the best option. It seems like the right thing to do. You're mature. You're over it. The best revenge is living well, right? But no. Not this weekend.

You left because of heat in Texas while living in ARKANSAS? What is that? That doesn't even make sense! And honestly? His band is overrated. 

This isn't a weekend for "I hope you're doing wells" or "Hey, give me a call sometimes." This is a weekend for being bitter and shredding old keepsakes. This is a weekend for drunk dialing and last-call hook-ups. This is a weekend for boisterous displays of masculinity and best bro time. And most importantly, this is a weekend for living well by proving them wrong. Winning is the best revenge. Winning is moving on.

Friday, May 20 6:05: LHP C.J. Wilson vs. RHP Roy Halladay

Saturday, May 21 6:10: RHP Colby Lewis vs. LHP Cliff Lee¡

Sunday, May 22 12:35: LHP Matt Harrison vs. RHP Roy Oswalt

Now, the hard part. Actually winning.

Who's ready for pitchers hitting?! Or worse, who's ready for hitters hitting as well as pitchers hitting? That might be what we can expect in this series. Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee are Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee. They're good. They're two of the best pitchers in baseball. Roy Oswalt is also pretty good. He isn't Halladay or Lee good, but he's probably the fourth best pitcher who will take the mound in this series behind those two fellas and C.J. Wilson. And, really, if Luke Hochevar can do what he did to the current Rangers offense, what's stopping Roy Halladay, in a league without a DH, from pitching a 27-strikeout perfect game? Almost nothing. And why? He does stuff like this, that the guys at Baseball Analytics sent me, to people like Adrian Beltre. That's just unfair (and probably literally unfair if you notice the calls Halladay gets in this particular match-up). 

Interestingly enough, however, the Rangers have traditionally had a modicum of success against each of the Phillies starters in this series. Not spooky only-the-Rangers-are-good against them success, but games recently where the Rangers have handled all three of these Phillie Aces. 

The last time the Rangers faced Roy Halladay was on April 21, 2009 when he was still a Blue Jay and not yet hiding behind the skirt of National League baseball. Halladay allowed 5 ER in 8 innings for his first loss of that season. For his career he is 7-7 against the Rangers with a second worst career WHIP of 1.416 against any team he's pitched more than 20 innings to. 

The last time the Rangers faced Roy Oswalt was on June 27 of last season when he was still an Astro and still hiding behind the skirt of National League baseball. Oswalt allowed 7 ER in 4.2 innings. He was terrible. For his career he is 4-6 against the Rangers. In 81.1 innings versus the Rangers he's given up 94 hits, 41 runs, and 14 home runs. 

The last time the Rangers faced Cliff Lee...I guess you could say Richard Durrett has that covered here and the Rangers didn't exactly win but they might not have lost, either. But we'll always have Opening Day 2009.

Most of that doesn't even matter. Those were different lineups in different environments with different context. All three of the guys the Rangers will face are good at their jobs and we should probably expect that they will be good at them against the Rangers. I guess it's mostly just nice knowing that the Rangers have beat them before so it is easier to believe that the Rangers can beat them again.

Icho32_medium

Philadelphia Phillies (26-17, 1st Place NL East)

Rangers 2011 Record vs. Philadelphia: INTERLEAGUE

Philadelphia's Recent Results: 1-1 Series tie against the Colorado Rockies

Philadelphia's Home Record: 14-7

Citizens Bank Park Park Factors (LHB/RHB): HR: 116/120 - wOBA: 103/101

SB Nation Phillies Blog: The Good Phight


Match-up: (as of 5/19)        Rangers  Phillies Advantage
Batting
(RAR)
             20.4
            (5th)
-12.3
(21st)
Rangers
Starters
(RAR)
13.6 45.6 Phillies :(
Bullpen
(RAR)
-12.8
(30th)
4.2
(19th)
Phillies
Defense
UZR
-6.6
(20th)
-1.9
(19th)
Phillies?
Overall RAR + UZR 14.6 35.6 Phillies

Questions to Answer:

  • Do you think the Phillies make Joe Blanton use a separate shower?
  • Who is your pick to lead the Rangers in home runs in this series and who will strike out the most Phillies in this series? (I'll say Colby Lewis and Colby Lewis.)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 runs scored by the Rangers in this series?
  • Better league: Nippon Professional Baseball or National League?
  • Do you think we should call him I5vxe_medium? No. We probably shouldn't call him. Should we call him?