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There was a four way tie for the over/under contest, each getting 29 of the 44 questions correct.
The winners of the contest are:
- Slaw
- Feliz es bueno
- pblack
- Schultzy
Each winner will receive a 2013 edition of the Baseball Prospectus book from Adam.
The LSB collective got 23 questions right and the lowest scores were shared by mcbheath and so close and yet...profar with 15 correct answers.
The questions LSB were most wrong on:
- Question 11: Mark Lowe getting more games finished than Mike Adams
- Question 6: Michael Young's hitting enough doubles to surpass twice the combination of light hitting CF
- Question 2: Derek Holland winning more games than Matt Harrison
- Question 9: Elvis Andrus stealing a lot less bases than Josh Hamilton hit home runs
- Question 42: Elvis Andrus putting up a higher UZR than he would ground into double plays
Here's the spreadsheet of how everyone did and below are the details on all 44 questions.
Question 1 | Guesses | Values |
Koji Uehara's major league innings pitched as a Ranger | 108 | 36.0 |
Robbie Ross's major league innings pitched as a Ranger | 103 | 65.0 |
Question 2 | Guesses | Values |
Derek Holland's win total as a Ranger | 165 | 12 |
Matt Harrison's win total as a Ranger | 46 | 18 |
Question 3 | Guesses | Values |
Every other pitcher's combined save total as a Ranger | 41 | 6 |
Joe Nathan's save total as a Ranger | 170 | 37 |
Question 4 | Guesses | Values |
Craig Gentry's stolen bases | 96 | 13 |
Elvis Andrus's sacrifice bunts | 115 | 17 |
Question 5 | Guesses | Values |
Josh Hamilton's home runs | 76 | 43 |
Nelson Cruz's home runs | 135 | 24 |
Question 6 | Guesses | Values |
(Craig Gentry's XBHs + Julio Borbon's XBHs + Leonys Martin's XBHs) X 2 | 42 | 46 |
Michael Young's doubles | 169 | 27 |
Question 7 | Guesses | Values |
David Murphy's stolen bases | 92 | 10 |
Elvis Andrus's caught stealings | 119 | 10 |
Question 8 | Guesses | Values |
Ian Kinsler's caught stealings | 141 | 9 |
Michael Young's stolen bases | 70 | 2 |
Question 9 | Guesses | Values |
Elvis Andrus's stolen bases | 165 | 21 |
Josh Hamilton's home runs | 46 | 43 |
Question 10 | Guesses | Values |
Alexi Ogando's innings pitched | 73 | 66.0 |
Scott Feldman's innings pitched | 138 | 123.2 |
Question 11 | Guesses | Values |
Mark Lowe's games finished | 28 | 12 |
Mike Adams' games finished | 183 | 7 |
Question 12 | Guesses | Values |
Martin Perez's major league innings pitched (as a Ranger) | 95 | 38.0 |
Neil Ramirez's major league innings pitched (as a Ranger) | 116 | 0.0 |
Question 13 | Guesses | Values |
Josh Hamilton's batting average | 63 | .285 |
Michael Young's batting average | 148 | .277 |
Question 14 | Guesses | Values |
Michael Young's batting average | 96 | .277 |
Yorvit Torrealba's OBP | 115 | .302 |
Question 15 | Guesses | Values |
Elvis Andrus's SLG - AVG | 91 | .092 |
Ian Kinsler's OBP - AVG | 120 | .070 |
Question 16 | Guesses | Values |
Josh Hamilton's games played | 95 | 148 |
Nelson Cruz's games played | 116 | 159 |
Question 17 | Guesses | Values |
Adrian Beltre's games played | 199 | 156 |
Mitch Moreland's games played | 12 | 114 |
Question 18 | Guesses | Values |
Adrian Beltre's RBIs | 72 | 102 |
Ian Kinsler's runs scored | 139 | 105 |
Question 19 | Guesses | Values |
Elvis Andrus's runs scored | 147 | 85 |
Nelson Cruz's RBIs | 64 | 90 |
Question 20 | Guesses | Values |
Elvis Andrus's sacrifices | 176 | 17 |
Josh Hamilton's intentional walks | 35 | 13 |
Question 21 | Guesses | Values |
(Mitch Moreland's SLG) X 2 | 109 | .936 |
Josh Hamilton's OPS | 102 | .930 |
Question 22 | Guesses | Values |
Adrian Beltre's UZR/150 | 136 | 15.1 |
Elvis Andrus's UZR/150 | 75 | 9.1 |
Question 23 | Guesses | Values |
(Total number of doubles for the team leader in doubles) - 7 | 135 | 38 |
Total number of home runs for the team leader in home runs | 76 | 43 |
Question 24 | Guesses | Values |
Adrian Beltre's errors | 21 | 8 |
Adrian Beltre's GIDPs | 190 | 8 |
Question 25 | Guesses | Values |
David Murphy's stolen bases | 106 | 10 |
Total number of starting pitchers used | 105 | 11 |
Question 26 | Guesses | Values |
Elvis Andrus's XBHs - Elvis Andrus's caught stealing | 140 | 33 |
Total number of pitchers used | 71 | 21 |
Question 27 | Guesses | Values |
Elvis Andrus's XBHs | 106 | 43 |
Total number of players used | 105 | 39 |
Question 28 | Guesses | Values |
Josh Hamilton's HRs - Josh Hamilton's doubles | 113 | -12 |
Mitch Moreland's HRs - Mitch Moreland's doubles | 98 | -3 |
Question 29 | Guesses | Values |
Josh Hamilton's assists | 44 | 5 |
Nelson Cruz's assists | 167 | 9 |
Question 30 | Guesses | Values |
Neftali Feliz's innings pitched + 20 | 12 | 62.2 |
Yu Darvish's innings pitched | 199 | 191.1 |
Question 31 | Guesses | Values |
Neftali Feliz's innings pitched + Alexi Ogando's innings pitched | 71 | 108.2 |
Yu Darvish's innings pitched + Joe Nathan's innings pitched | 140 | 255.2 |
Question 32 | Guesses | Values |
Scott Feldman's wins + Mike Adams' wins + Joe Nathan's wins + Alexi Ogando's wins + Koji Uehara's wins | 124 | 16 |
Yu Darvish's wins | 87 | 16 |
Question 33 | Guesses | Values |
Colby Lewis's HR/9 | 98 | 1.370 |
Elvis Andrus's OPS X 2 | 113 | 1.454 |
Question 34 | Guesses | Values |
Derek Holland's WHIP | 92 | 1.22 |
Yu Darvish's ERA+/100 | 119 | 1.16 |
Question 35 | Guesses | Values |
Road wins | 135 | 43 |
Yu Darvish's wins + Derek Holland's wins + Colby Lewis's wins | 76 | 34 |
Question 36 | Guesses | Values |
Team OPS v. LHP | 76 | .793 |
Team OPS v. RHP | 135 | .775 |
Question 37 | Guesses | Values |
Elvis Andrus's OPS | 114 | .727 |
Josh Hamilton's daytime OPS | 97 | 1.006 |
Question 38 | Guesses | Values |
David Murphy's HRs | 60 | 15 |
Michael Young GIDPs | 151 | 26 |
Question 39 | Guesses | Values |
(Adrian Beltre's OPS/2) X 1000 (for example, if Adrian Beltre has an 800 OPS, this would be 400) | 104 | 461 |
David Murphy's PAs | 107 | 521 |
Question 40 | Guesses | Values |
Matt Harrison's ERA+ | 148 | 138 |
Mitch Moreland's OPS+ | 63 | 104 |
Question 41 | Guesses | Values |
Derek Holland's ERA+ | 78 | 97 |
Nelson Cruz's OPS+ | 133 | 101 |
Question 42 | Guesses | Values |
Elvis Andrus's GIDP | 46 | 15 |
Elvis Andrus's UZR | 165 | 8.8 |
Question 43 | Guesses | Values |
Adrian Beltre's GIDPs | 88 | 8 |
Adrian Beltre's UZR | 123 | 10.7 |
Question 44 | Guesses | Values |
The absolute value of Josh Hamilton's UZR | 103 | 12.6 |
The absolute value of Nelson Cruz's UZR | 108 | 3.3 |