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2012 Community Projections Results: David Murphy

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Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

Debby Wong-US PRESSWIRE

For the first five months of the 2011 season, David Murphy put up a .251 / .317 / .352 slash line for a .668 OPS in 338 PA. He rebounded in September of that year with a .923 OPS in 102 PA, but it still ended up as easily the worst season of his Major League career. The rough 2011 had the LSB Average projection as only a .765 OPS, lower than his career .786 OPS heading into the 2012 season.

Responding the lack of faith in his grittiness and clutchness, Murphy posted the best season of his Major League career with an .859 OPS in a career high 521 PA. Murphy outperformed his projections by more than any other Rangers position player.

Congratulations to Rob ONeal for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value

Results PA AVG OBP SLG SCORE
2012 Season 521 .304 .380 .479
LSB Average 432.5 .278 .335 .430 3.01
ZiPS 458 .269 .328 .422 3.38
Marcel 467 .270 .330 .415 3.35
2011 Season 440 .275 .328 .401 3.62
Top Five Projections
1. Rob ONeal 518 .288 .342 .473 1.41
2. BigGuns 502 .294 .357 .434 1.57
3. Rossome 411 .326 .374 .468 1.60
4. dangerranger 475 .290 .358 .449 1.61
5. grn_lantern 500 .290 .350 .445 1.69
Bottom Five Projections
137. Robert L. Bishop 349 .259 .321 .413 4.63
138. matthewbschultz83 410 .253 .317 .399 4.71
139. Trickman 350 .260 .310 .410 4.88
140. vfn 400 .255 .305 .385 5.19
141. bflood36 317 .262 .317 .388 5.19