/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/1641663/20120822_ter_sh2_611.0.jpg)
Mitch Moreland is the last of our position player community projections. The LSB Average expected him to rebound a bit from his bad 2011 where he was plagued with a wrist injury. His actual OPS of .789 was only slightly higher than the projected .784 and much better than 2011's .734. Moreland's PA came in below most projections after missing several weeks with a hamstring injury.
Mitch Moreland isn't the type of first baseman you expect a playoff contender to have and watching Prince Fielder in the current playoffs evokes plenty of "What if?" questions. Of course watching Alex Rodriguez with four years left on his contract should evoke their own brand of "Oh yeah, that's why" responses.
So here's to Mitch Moreland being below average and cheap for one more year and praying the Rangers surprise us and get a first baseman who can actually put up better than a .789 OPS.
Congratulations to casew for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.
*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value
Results | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | SCORE |
2012 Season | 357 | .275 | .321 | .468 | |
LSB Average | 488.9 | .269 | .339 | .445 | 1.08 |
ZiPS | 590 | .264 | .329 | .424 | 1.58 |
Marcel | 473 | .261 | .331 | .445 | 1.26 |
2011 Season | 512 | .259 | .320 | .414 | 1.40 |
Top Five Projections | |||||
1. casew | 400 | .275 | .340 | .459 | 0.51 |
2. CrisLander | 440 | .270 | .320 | .450 | 0.58 |
3. WyoRanger | 480 | .275 | .330 | .465 | 0.60 |
4. JimCrankshaft | 433 | .269 | .333 | .466 | 0.61 |
5. Stephen Rushin | 420 | .270 | .333 | .451 | 0.66 |
Bottom Five Projections | |||||
139. Abasic Campfire | 560 | .285 | .360 | .485 | 1.68 |
140. rckclmbr | 275 | .253 | .305 | .379 | 1.78 |
141. Rob ONeal | 388 | .236 | .298 | .399 | 1.93 |
142. MikeEl | 595 | .285 | .384 | .473 | 2.06 |
143. Brooks | 155 | .220 | .221 | .184 | 5.81 |