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For the past several years Mike Adams has been one of the very best relief pitchers in baseball. He consistently produced fantastic peripherals and an ERA to match. Given his fantastic recent success, expectations were very high for him to continue to be one of the better relievers in the league, with a small adjustment for age, park and coming to the AL.
Mike Adams didn't have a bad year, but given the lofty expectations he was a pretty big disappointment, always pitching pretty well, but rarely dominating and eventually having his season end due to thoracic outlet syndrome.
Congratulations to LiamP for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.
*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value
Results | IP | ERA | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | SCORE |
2012 Season | 52.3 | 3.27 | 7.74 | 2.92 | 0.69 | |
LSB Average | 70.3 | 2.19 | 9.17 | 2.02 | 0.80 | 2.46 |
ZiPS | 55.7 | 3.23 | 8.40 | 2.42 | 0.97 | 1.01 |
Marcel | 69.0 | 2.74 | 8.09 | 2.48 | 0.65 | 1.41 |
2011 Season | 73.7 | 1.47 | 9.04 | 1.71 | 0.61 | 3.06 |
Top Five Projections | ||||||
1. LiamP | 55.0 | 3.10 | 8.50 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.24 |
2. phikid3 | 60.0 | 2.95 | 8.50 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 1.37 |
3. Telegraph | 68.3 | 3.10 | 8.10 | 2.10 | 0.70 | 1.37 |
4. Cav0 | 65.0 | 2.06 | 7.50 | 2.50 | 0.85 | 1.68 |
5. JDT217 | 61.0 | 2.79 | 8.20 | 2.40 | 1.30 | 1.81 |
Bottom Five Projections | ||||||
122. CowboyHornedFrogs | 82.0 | 1.62 | 9.40 | 1.90 | 0.50 | 3.50 |
123. ghostofErikThompson | 78.0 | 1.99 | 10.80 | 1.90 | 0.60 | 3.51 |
124. Gdawg | 75.0 | 2.20 | 9.10 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 3.60 |
125. Adam J. Morris | 77.0 | 1.98 | 10.70 | 1.80 | 0.50 | 3.61 |
126. eglooney | 77.0 | 2.01 | 9.10 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 3.77 |