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In 2011, Ian Kinsler had arguably the best season of his career. He stayed healthy all year, his first year playing over 150 games, provided great offense with an .832 OPS and going 30 HR / 30 SB and strong defense by both UZR and DRS and even the more mundane fielding percentage.
2012 saw almost every aspect of Kinsler's game worsen from his 2011 season or his career numbers. Walks were down, strikeouts up, base running and defense plummeted, power numbers went down. In almost every way, Ian Kinsler's season was a disappointment with the exception that he was able to stay healthy for a second straight year.
Congratulations to disposablehero for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.
*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value
Results | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | SCORE |
2012 Season | 731 | .256 | .326 | .423 | |
LSB Average | 658.6 | .276 | .368 | .476 | 2.76 |
ZiPS | 619 | .274 | .360 | .474 | 2.72 |
Marcel | 608 | .259 | .345 | .448 | 1.62 |
2011 Season | 723 | .255 | .355 | .477 | 1.71 |
Top Five Projections | |||||
1. disposablehero | 654 | .260 | .334 | .465 | 1.51 |
2. WhipSmart | 714 | .260 | .350 | .468 | 1.55 |
3. hornedfrogs45 | 680 | .268 | .354 | .452 | 1.69 |
4. AceJC | 708 | .266 | .342 | .476 | 1.73 |
5. Longhorn | 677 | .262 | .355 | .461 | 1.77 |
Bottom Five Projections | |||||
176. FirebatM3 | 691 | .293 | .400 | .500 | 4.08 |
177. NinetyFeet | 610 | .286 | .388 | .501 | 4.14 |
178. Spadedsnake | 287 | .252 | .373 | .478 | 4.57 |
179. hightowersmith | 600 | .310 | .385 | .500 | 4.68 |
180. dumdum000333 | 720 | .330 | .415 | .500 | 5.08 |