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2013 Community Projections Results: Mitch Moreland

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

By Bradstick
Mitch was a lot better when he had glorious hair
Mitch was a lot better when he had glorious hair
Rick Yeatts

Here's Mitch Moreland's OPS by month for the last three years.

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
2011 .905 .873 .717 .609 .740 .434
2012 .753 .976 .704 .571 .937 .542
2013 .765 .979 .622 .496 .847 .621

It's kind of spooky. He's decent in April, amazing in May. Awful in June and July, the rebounds in August to fall off a cliff in September. But only 6 out of 18 months with an OPS over .800, and 7 months with an OPS under .700. That's not good.

Seriously, he shouldn't have cut his hair.

Congratulations to TheHuntforRedOctober for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2013 value

Results PA AVG OBP SLG SCORE
2013 Season 518 .232 .299 .437
LSB Average 484.2 .273 .334 .462 1.71
ZiPS 503 .264 .321 .435 0.81
Steamer 357 .266 .331 .450 1.89
2012 Season 357 .275 .321 .468 2.09
Top Five Projections
1. TheHuntforRedOctober 500 .250 .300 .420 0.60
2. Dirk Diggler 450 .250 .300 .450 0.75
3. gofuhcureself 517 .253 .317 .428 0.78
4. Mike E 487 .258 .306 .444 0.80
5. CRUSHDAVIS 525 .265 .320 .432 1.04
Bottom Five Projections
78. Onestrike 513 .298 .364 .473 2.65
79. tr1551 506 .289 .364 .498 2.75
80. Springfield 600 .285 .357 .494 2.79
81. Mark from OC 570 .295 .361 .499 2.98
82. chrisR 510 .290 .379 .498 2.99