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Doubt Joe Nathan at your own peril.
2013 was another exceptional turned in by the 53 year old Nathan where early worries at diminished velocity went away as he continued to go out get the job done. Joe's not likely to be a Ranger in 2014 because his cost probably isn't the best allocation of resources with our other bullpen arms under contract. But I'm glad we got two excellent years from one of the best ever at his role. And for only $7 million a year to boot, basically about half the price that a dominant closer has been paid on the free agent market.
We'll miss you Joe Nathan.
Also, since we didn't do a projection on him, hat tip to a fine season by Tanner Scheppers. After being a ranked prospect that was losing steam, he had a very good year as a set up man. Now we just need his strikeouts to match his stuff and his whiff rate.
Congratulations to hefe300 for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.
*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2013 value
Results | IP | ERA | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | SCORE |
2013 Season | 64.7 | 1.39 | 10.16 | 3.06 | 0.28 | |
LSB Average | 58.9 | 2.99 | 9.56 | 2.02 | 1.10 | 2.52 |
ZiPS | 49.3 | 3.65 | 9.68 | 2.37 | 1.28 | 3.02 |
Steamer | 46.0 | 2.95 | 9.46 | 2.76 | 0.98 | 2.33 |
2012 Season | 64.3 | 2.80 | 10.91 | 1.82 | 0.98 | 2.35 |
Top Five Projections | ||||||
1. hefe300 | 63.0 | 2.74 | 10.00 | 2.50 | 0.80 | 1.58 |
2. gossamer | 62.0 | 2.84 | 10.20 | 2.70 | 1.10 | 1.74 |
3. Cascade Ranger | 62.1 | 2.45 | 9.53 | 2.45 | 1.01 | 1.81 |
4. bigsteve | 59.0 | 2.60 | 10.20 | 2.40 | 1.07 | 1.86 |
5. Heebs | 68.0 | 2.35 | 9.90 | 1.90 | 0.90 | 1.92 |
Bottom Five Projections | ||||||
77. RangerMad | 48.0 | 3.33 | 8.90 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 3.66 |
78. ok.fester | 53.0 | 4.23 | 8.60 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 3.71 |
79. Adam J. Morris | 31.0 | 3.41 | 8.70 | 2.10 | 1.20 | 3.84 |
80. Mark from OC | 30.0 | 3.55 | 8.90 | 2.10 | 1.40 | 4.04 |
81. LiamP | 32.0 | 4.85 | 7.80 | 2.90 | 1.75 | 4.81 |