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The 2013 season was an excellent example of Derek Holland. Lots of good games and dominant at times while also mixing inconsistency that separates pitchers who are pretty good from those who are great. LSB was very close on the projections, except no one saw the terrible home run rate from 2012 being cut almost exactly in half.
All in all, it was a good season from Derek, posting a 4.8 fWAR and 3.3 bWAR with his actual value probably somewhere in between. That's a strong season and the kind you take every year from a guy like Derek Holland.
Congratulations to Baseball North for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.
*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2013 value
| Results | IP | ERA | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | SCORE |
| 2013 Season | 213.0 | 3.42 | 7.99 | 2.70 | 0.85 | |
| LSB Average | 190.9 | 4.03 | 7.71 | 2.77 | 1.31 | 1.34 |
| ZiPS | 170.7 | 4.53 | 7.43 | 2.90 | 1.42 | 2.31 |
| Steamer | 172.0 | 4.03 | 7.40 | 3.03 | 0.99 | 1.71 |
| 2012 Season | 175.3 | 4.67 | 7.44 | 2.67 | 1.64 | 2.39 |
| Top Five Projections | ||||||
| 1. Baseball North | 200.0 | 3.50 | 8.00 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 0.54 |
| 2. FelizCheez | 216.0 | 3.54 | 8.10 | 2.80 | 1.20 | 0.58 |
| 3. Brad | 206.0 | 3.64 | 8.00 | 2.50 | 1.10 | 0.62 |
| 4. Heebs | 210.0 | 3.65 | 8.10 | 2.90 | 1.10 | 0.62 |
| 5. slc ranger | 207.0 | 3.57 | 7.90 | 2.50 | 1.20 | 0.72 |
| Bottom Five Projections | ||||||
| 72. txcheeseranger | 175.0 | 4.79 | 8.00 | 3.40 | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| 73. MrPryor | 176.0 | 5.03 | 7.10 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 2.95 |
| 74. TheGritMaster | 183.0 | 4.87 | 7.60 | 2.10 | 1.90 | 2.95 |
| 75. LiamP | 180.0 | 4.87 | 6.50 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 3.42 |
| 76. adawk91 | 150.0 | 4.78 | 7.00 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 3.77 |