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Leonys Martin had a decent 2013. His offense was below average, but his defense and baserunning provided solid value around 3 wins (2.7 fWAR, 3.4 bWAR). He had several memorable moments by gunning down runners all year long from centerfield and stealing 36 bases, but he didn't hit or walk that much and limited power numbers.
LSB community projections expected much more significant production offensively, likely based on the fantastic 260 PA / .359 / .422 / .610 line he put up in 2012 while in AAA. The reports from the Rangers indicated that his hitting was the part of his game they expected to do well, but his defense and baserunning were still raw. 2013 basically saw the opposite. Or rather 2011 and 2012 helped refine his defense and baserunning to be above average but his hitting talents have to translate as above average at the major league level. However, even without the lights out hitting he displayed in the minor leagues, being able to hit well enough to play above average CF and steal bases makes him a viable player.
Congratulations to Philar for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.
*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2013 value
Results | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | SCORE |
2013 Season | 508 | .260 | .313 | .385 | |
LSB Average | 461.6 | .284 | .342 | .439 | 1.52 |
ZiPS | 388 | .270 | .326 | .415 | 1.20 |
Steamer | 253 | .277 | .335 | .433 | 2.25 |
2012 Season | 52 | .174 | .235 | .370 | 4.89 |
Top Five Projections | |||||
1. Philar | 485 | .266 | .322 | .398 | 0.46 |
2. casew | 515 | .263 | .333 | .401 | 0.51 |
3. dolphinpuncher | 485 | .263 | .312 | .434 | 0.61 |
4. Travis93 | 500 | .255 | .300 | .425 | 0.66 |
5. Black Francis | 477 | .254 | .323 | .418 | 0.69 |
Bottom Five Projections | |||||
85. Soonernick | 493 | .293 | .368 | .504 | 2.47 |
86. Akalhar | 510 | .303 | .373 | .484 | 2.47 |
87. Mark from OC | 555 | .309 | .369 | .469 | 2.60 |
88. FelizCheez | 516 | .312 | .360 | .501 | 2.61 |
89. Rodney | 425 | .300 | .400 | .500 | 3.34 |