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2015 Community Projections Results: Prince Fielder

Congrats to rooster!

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

In a shocking turn of events, we will actually have results to the community projections this year!

We begin with Prince Fielder who rebounded from an injury shortened 2014 to have a solid 2015.  LSB projected him fairly well, though the diminished power was a surprise, though not a pleasant one.  However, Prince hit over .300 in almost 700 PA and had an OBP of .378 which is excellent.  The PA amount is really high and it makes me wonder if Prince played too much, especially with his size and Texas weather.

The commenter who came the closest in projection was: rooster!

Notes

  • OPT+ is an indicator of how a projection compared to the LSB Average.  100 is average, 110 is 10% better than average, and 90 is 10% worse than average.
  • SCORE is an average of the number of standard deviations away from the actual results for each projected value also known as a Z-Score.
  • FanGraphs Depth Charts is from FanGraphs.com using their hybrid of ZiPS and Steamer and manually determined playing time.
  • The number in parentheses after LSB Average is the total number of entries for this player.
  • Spreadsheet with all entries

Results

PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
2015 Season 693.0 .305 .378 .463 .841 109 0.00
2014 Season 178.0 .247 .360 .360 .720 20 4.81
FanGraphs Depth Charts 595.0 .270 .368 .454 .822 87 1.45
LSB Average (80) 632.7 .279 .373 .484 .857 100 1.08


Top Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
rooster 672 .298 .388 .488 .876 112 0.61
Jag351 684 .293 .379 .510 .889 117 0.66
Bface 690 .285 .375 .490 .865 112 0.69
Nips 681 .287 .374 .492 .866 111 0.72
TxPower 665 .287 .380 .488 .868 108 0.73

Bottom Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
casew 475 .269 .355 .455 .810 68 2.28
AjaxJones 441 .265 .368 .440 .808 62 2.41
mrbassman465 548 .240 .377 .402 .779 69 2.53
Ed Looney 570 .305 .415 .650 1.065 130 2.66
Lil Nubber 517 .249 .341 .413 .754 64 3.06