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2015 Community Projections Results: Elvis Andrus

Congrats to DiamondTalk1310!

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

So... Elvis.

Elvis is the unusual case where both the LSB crowd sourced projections and the FanGraphs Depth Charts projections did worse than simply just guessing he'd do what he did last year.   He did have more power this year with a change in approach and using a heavier bat, but the start of the season was so awful that even with a second half more in line with his better years his overall 2015 numbers are still very disappointing.

The commenter who came the closest in projection was: DiamondTalk1310!

Notes

  • OPT+ is an indicator of how a projection compared to the LSB Average.  100 is average, 110 is 10% better than average, and 90 is 10% worse than average.
  • SCORE is an average of the number of standard deviations away from the actual results for each projected value also known as a Z-Score.
  • FanGraphs Depth Charts is from FanGraphs.com using their hybrid of ZiPS and Steamer and manually determined playing time.
  • The number in parentheses after LSB Average is the total number of entries for this player.
  • Spreadsheet with all entries

Results

PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
2015 Season 661.0 .258 .309 .357 .666 93 0.00
2014 Season 685.0 .263 .314 .333 .647 91 0.63
FanGraphs Depth Charts 630.0 .270 .327 .346 .673 90 0.87
LSB Average (80) 665.0 .275 .336 .356 .692 100 0.84


Top Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
DiamondTalk1310 650 .260 .320 .340 .660 89 0.49
Lil Nubber 665 .251 .304 .332 .636 86 0.55
WhipSmart 670 .260 .320 .330 .650 89 0.59
Keystone Heavy 650 .270 .320 .365 .685 97 0.60
philclark 650 .268 .313 .335 .648 88 0.61

Bottom Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
RobGordon 711 .286 .375 .350 .725 112 2.05
Baseball North 700 .290 .360 .390 .750 122 2.14
AlaskaRanger 562 .301 .377 .369 .746 96 2.78
Gdawg 700 .310 .375 .400 .775 130 2.94
Ed Looney 615 .305 .390 .390 .780 113 2.99