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2015 Community Projections Results: Mitch Moreland

Congrats to mperkins70!

By Bradstick
Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

I think Mitch Moreland wins the award for the most shocking season.  He finally did it!  A pretty good year!  As a point of comparison, both the FanGraphs Depth Charts and LSB projections expected Rougned Odor to have a slightly higher OPS and more PA.  I'm glad for Mitch and I'm glad for the Rangers and hopefully he has another year like this in him for next season.

The commenter who came the closest in projection was: mperkins70!

Notes

  • OPT+ is an indicator of how a projection compared to the LSB Average.  100 is average, 110 is 10% better than average, and 90 is 10% worse than average.
  • SCORE is an average of the number of standard deviations away from the actual results for each projected value also known as a Z-Score.
  • FanGraphs Depth Charts is from FanGraphs.com using their hybrid of ZiPS and Steamer and manually determined playing time.
  • The number in parentheses after LSB Average is the total number of entries for this player.
  • Spreadsheet with all entries

Results

PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
2015 Season 515.0 .278 .330 .482 .812 177 0.00
2014 Season 184.0 .246 .297 .347 .644 41 2.81
FanGraphs Depth Charts 469.0 .246 .305 .411 .716 126 1.42
LSB Average (77) 350.8 .256 .311 .425 .736 100 1.45


Top Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
mperkins70 499 .282 .328 .457 .785 163 0.30
jglasgow34 450 .286 .330 .490 .820 159 0.37
huebone 495 .267 .328 .457 .785 158 0.41
Baseball North 450 .280 .340 .470 .810 153 0.44
JSchick 425 .272 .325 .465 .790 139 0.54

Bottom Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
slc ranger 203 .237 .292 .368 .660 47 2.82
KevinWC 200 .221 .290 .360 .650 44 3.14
Rodney 200 .220 .290 .360 .650 44 3.16
Gay For Darvish 150 .230 .320 .320 .609 30 3.44
Keystone Heavy 220 .205 .300 .300 .565 38 4.06