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2015 Community Projections Results: Adrian Beltre

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Congrats to MonkeyEpoxy!

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Adrian Beltre is awesome.  His numbers were down from a very poor start and playing through multiple severe finger injuries, but by the end of the year it ended up as another solid season for a hall of fame career.

The commenter who came the closest in projection was: MonkeyEpoxy!

Notes

  • OPT+ is an indicator of how a projection compared to the LSB Average.  100 is average, 110 is 10% better than average, and 90 is 10% worse than average.
  • SCORE is an average of the number of standard deviations away from the actual results for each projected value also known as a Z-Score.
  • FanGraphs Depth Charts is from FanGraphs.com using their hybrid of ZiPS and Steamer and manually determined playing time.
  • The number in parentheses after LSB Average is the total number of entries for this player.
  • Spreadsheet with all entries

Results

PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
2015 Season 619.0 .287 .334 .453 .787 90 0.00
2014 Season 614.0 .324 .388 .492 .880 109 2.22
FanGraphs Depth Charts 630.0 .298 .352 .478 .830 101 0.92
LSB Average (64) 603.4 .306 .363 .483 .846 100 1.37


Top Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
MonkeyEpoxy 594 .291 .343 .469 .812 91 0.58
Othersider 623 .297 .341 .475 .816 97 0.66
AlaskaRanger 650 .298 .341 .465 .806 100 0.70
Jobu. 630 .300 .350 .460 .810 97 0.70
bigsteve 550 .295 .340 .460 .800 83 0.75

Bottom Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
South LA Ranger Fan 600 .315 .375 .510 .885 108 2.13
ryjadubya 685 .310 .375 .505 .880 121 2.20
Baseball North 600 .315 .375 .530 .905 112 2.40
rooster 616 .338 .395 .490 .885 112 2.63
droidsarefun 645 .327 .378 .528 .906 122 2.74