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2015 Community Projections Results: Yovani Gallardo

Congrats to MonkeyEpoxy!

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

We got a pretty good year from Yovani Gallardo.  He did some decent run prevention at a reasonable cost.  He was excruciating to watch and seemingly would blow up at any moment, but hey, the year is done and it ended up okay.

The commenter who came the closest in projection was: MonkeyEpoxy!

Notes

  • OPT+ is an indicator of how a projection compared to the LSB Average.  100 is average, 110 is 10% better than average, and 90 is 10% worse than average.
  • SCORE is an average of the number of standard deviations away from the actual results for each projected value also known as a Z-Score.
  • FanGraphs Depth Charts is from FanGraphs.com using their hybrid of ZiPS and Steamer and manually determined playing time.
  • The number in parentheses after LSB Average is the total number of entries for this player.
  • Spreadsheet with all entries

Results

IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 OPT+ SCORE
2015 Season 184.3 3.42 5.91 3.32 0.73 98 0.00
2014 Season 192.3 3.51 6.83 2.53 0.98 110 1.38
FanGraphs Depth Charts 194.0 4.30 6.90 2.91 1.07 95 1.94
LSB Average (42) 189.5 3.84 7.10 2.73 1.06 100 1.75


Top Five

Commenter IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 OPT+ SCORE
MonkeyEpoxy 200.0 3.80 6.90 2.90 0.80 125 1.15
TankTheFrank 182.0 3.67 6.90 3.20 1.00 89 1.19
Unusual Suspect 192.1 3.65 6.90 2.70 0.90 115 1.27
HEISMAN BEAR 2.0 190.0 3.80 6.90 3.00 1.00 97 1.40
ryjadubya 200.2 3.72 6.20 2.80 1.10 86 1.40

Bottom Five

Commenter IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 OPT+ SCORE
OJsApprentice 49.0 3.12 7.00 2.50 0.90 31 2.40
Baseball North 220.0 3.25 7.50 1.75 1.10 144 2.54
AceJC 194.0 3.89 8.10 2.30 1.10 124 2.54
Senor Beef 110.0 3.80 7.40 2.10 1.00 72 2.57
pdraggy 168.2 4.38 7.90 2.30 1.30 87 3.21