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2015 Community Projections Results: Colby Lewis

Congrats to MIZ-DFW!

By Bradstick
Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Colby Lewis set a career high in innings pitched at age 36 and had a little below average ERA.  That's a solid season from a guy with an artificial hip.  Norm Hitzges and Bo Jackson probably only get like 50 innings with a worse ERA if I'm guessing.

The commenter who came the closest in projection was: MIZ-DFW!

This was our final player to review, on Monday we'll get to see the overall results.  Won't that be exciting?

Notes

  • OPT+ is an indicator of how a projection compared to the LSB Average.  100 is average, 110 is 10% better than average, and 90 is 10% worse than average.
  • SCORE is an average of the number of standard deviations away from the actual results for each projected value also known as a Z-Score.
  • FanGraphs Depth Charts is from FanGraphs.com using their hybrid of ZiPS and Steamer and manually determined playing time.
  • The number in parentheses after LSB Average is the total number of entries for this player.
  • Spreadsheet with all entries

Results

IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 OPT+ SCORE
2015 Season 204.7 4.66 6.24 1.85 1.14 180 0.00
2014 Season 170.3 5.18 7.03 2.54 1.32 118 1.35
FanGraphs Depth Charts 159.0 4.80 6.73 2.50 1.42 92 1.19
LSB Average (37) 161.7 4.58 6.92 2.40 1.45 100 1.23


Top Five

Commenter IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 OPT+ SCORE
MIZ-DFW 190.0 4.44 6.73 2.32 1.33 131 0.85
Lil Nubber 171.0 3.95 6.90 1.80 1.10 173 0.88
Gay For Darvish 210.0 4.40 6.70 2.50 1.40 124 0.95
Straw_Man 175.0 4.54 7.10 2.30 1.20 149 0.98
AlaskaRanger 191.0 4.79 7.00 2.50 1.00 185 1.01

Bottom Five

Commenter IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 OPT+ SCORE
Gdawg 185.0 4.00 7.00 2.80 1.80 42 1.86
G had 155.0 4.64 6.90 2.50 2.10 3 1.88
AceJC 120.0 5.23 6.90 2.80 1.80 26 2.19
ok.fester 86.0 5.15 7.20 2.60 1.60 40 2.25
Lochness22 65.0 6.84 5.40 1.80 1.70 19 2.64