Scott Kazmir is a Los Angeles Dodger, agreeing to a 3 year, $48 million deal, per reports on Twitter, with an opt-out after the 2016 season.
Not a bad deal at all for Kazmir, who Jon Heyman pegged at 3 years, $39M, and who Fangraphs had at 3 years, $42M. Kazmir, who turns 32 in January, is a remarkable story, reviving his career after a stretch from 2009-12 that saw him either ineffective or not pitching.
The question with Kazmir at this point is durability as much as anything else...he had a 2.38 ERA in 109.2 IP for Oakland last year before he was traded to the Astros, where he had a 4.17 ERA in 73.1 IP over the final couple of months. In 2014, Kazmir put up a 2.38 ERA in the first half of the season, and a 5.42 ERA in the second half. The trend has led to some concerns that the smallish lefty simply wears down over the course of the season.
Now, that may be less of an issue for the Dodgers, who expect to have Brandon McCarthy back in May or June of 2016, and are in a position where they may be able to stash Kazmir on the d.l. to give him a break, or simply shelf him late in the year if he is fading. But still, $16M per year -- with an opt-out -- for someone in Kazmir's situation seems awfully aggressive.
The 2016-17 free agent class is, as has been discussed, pretty weak, and the Dodgers are now in a position where they have Brett Anderson hitting the free agent market in a year, as well as, potentially, Kazmir.
UPDATE -- Kazmir is reportedly getting $16 million in 2016, and if he doesn't opt out, $16 million in 2017 and 2018.