We didn't do an over/under predictions contest last year, and we all know how that went, so we definitely have to do one this season...
This was something Sky Kalkman came up with, and I stole this from him, including the instructions. Here's how it works:
Below you will find 44 pairs of numbers. In each case, you tell me which number will be bigger. One point for each correct answer. Most points wins.
Ties — and I expect there to be a nontrivial number of them — go to the side that had fewer votes. For example, here is a pair of numbers:
Wins by the Yankees
Wins by the Red Sox
Let’s say 41 people take the Yankees and 54 take the Red Sox. If the Yankees and Red Sox end up with the same number of wins, then each Yankee-backer will get a point and each Red Sox-backer will not.
I will buy the winner the 2016 Baseball Prospectus book. Entries close as of midnight on 4/8/15.