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2016 Community Projections Results: Elvis Andrus

Congrats to chefie!

By Bradstick
Neville E. Guard-USA TODAY Sports

Man, talk about a turnaround.  Offensively Elvis had far and away the best season of his career.  He had a .300 average an .800 (!) OPS and absolutely killed it.  Even the most optimistic of projections was way low.  Let's hope this is the start of a string of strong seasons (and having his base running and defense pick back up would be even better!).

The commenter who came the closest in projection was: chefie!

Notes

  • OPT+ is an indicator of how a projection compared to the LSB Average.  100 is average, 110 is 10% better than average, and 90 is 10% worse than average.
  • SCORE is an average of the number of standard deviations away from the actual results for each projected value also known as a Z-Score.
  • FanGraphs Depth Charts is from FanGraphs.com using their hybrid of ZiPS and Steamer and manually determined playing time.
  • The number in parentheses after LSB Average is the total number of entries for this player.
  • Spreadsheet with all entries

Results

PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
2016 Season 568.0 .302 .362 .439 .801 124 0.00
2015 Season 661.0 .258 .309 .357 .666 102 3.03
FanGraphs Depth Charts 630.0 .267 .321 .353 .674 100 2.60
LSB Average (94) 623.6 .266 .321 .358 .679 100 2.53


Top Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
chefie 650 .285 .345 .390 .735 121 1.45
snarebear55 600 .280 .347 .369 .716 105 1.59
Jobu. 675 .285 .340 .385 .725 123 1.68
capps1 600 .281 .320 .400 .720 110 1.72
BadRecollection 612 .287 .321 .391 .712 110 1.74

Bottom Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
RangerMad 355 .255 .299 .344 .643 52 3.79
RobGordon 375 .220 .320 .340 .660 54 3.99
Teddy Smilecrotch 250 .220 .300 .350 .650 36 4.63
TexasBBTown 315 .244 .291 .302 .593 39 4.75
Keystone Heavy 330 .189 .255 .250 .505 29 6.97