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2016 Community Projections Results: Rougned Odor

Congrats to WyoRanger!

By Bradstick
Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Boy, Rougie hit a lot of dingers.  And Joey Bats face!  And holy crap, that's an OBP below .300... but a lot of dingers!

Rougie is still pretty young, and power is good from a middle infielder.  This was a pretty good year, maybe next year will be better!  This is also the first projection that LSB was reasonably close on.

The commenter who came the closest in projection was: WyoRanger!

Notes

  • OPT+ is an indicator of how a projection compared to the LSB Average.  100 is average, 110 is 10% better than average, and 90 is 10% worse than average.
  • SCORE is an average of the number of standard deviations away from the actual results for each projected value also known as a Z-Score.
  • FanGraphs Depth Charts is from FanGraphs.com using their hybrid of ZiPS and Steamer and manually determined playing time.
  • The number in parentheses after LSB Average is the total number of entries for this player.
  • Spreadsheet with all entries

Results

PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
2016 Season 632.0 .271 .296 .502 .798 100 0.00
2015 Season 470.0 .261 .316 .465 .781 70 2.06
FanGraphs Depth Charts 623.0 .273 .323 .456 .779 94 1.14
LSB Average (94) 626.7 .281 .329 .472 .801 100 1.22


Top Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
WyoRanger 600 .268 .315 .495 .810 96 0.73
Teddy Smilecrotch 650 .270 .325 .495 .820 106 0.80
TRO_GT 635 .276 .328 .495 .823 105 0.85
Jus-10 650 .270 .320 .480 .800 102 0.86
fipile 600 .280 .320 .499 .819 100 0.92

Bottom Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
rooster 671 .289 .340 .431 .771 101 2.28
AjaxJones 640 .307 .348 .458 .806 106 2.34
jayrosser27 690 .276 .322 .364 .686 71 2.39
JoshCDBC 697 .315 .358 .480 .838 115 2.54
Shamus Beaglehole 692 .323 .374 .526 .900 116 3.30