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2016 Community Projections Results: Ian Desmond

Congrats to BrentTaylor21!

By Bradstick
Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Ian Desmond had a pretty dang good year.  He had a terrible April, a bananas crazy good May and June, a pretty good July and then a terrible August and September.  But for the year it was pretty dang good!  All that while playing reasonable CF despite a career as a SS.  It was a weird signing when it happened, but it turned out to be a solid one.

The commenter who came the closest in projection was: BrentTaylor21!

Notes

  • OPT+ is an indicator of how a projection compared to the LSB Average.  100 is average, 110 is 10% better than average, and 90 is 10% worse than average.
  • SCORE is an average of the number of standard deviations away from the actual results for each projected value also known as a Z-Score.
  • FanGraphs Depth Charts is from FanGraphs.com using their hybrid of ZiPS and Steamer and manually determined playing time.
  • The number in parentheses after LSB Average is the total number of entries for this player.
  • Spreadsheet with all entries

Results

PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
2016 Season 677.0 .285 .335 .446 .781 125 0.00
2015 Season 641.0 .233 .290 .384 .674 88 2.43
FanGraphs Depth Charts 581.0 .245 .301 .410 .711 88 1.96
LSB Average (94) 580.6 .263 .320 .439 .759 100 1.02


Top Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
BrentTaylor21 655 .282 .333 .452 .785 122 0.21
JoseTres 650 .290 .340 .460 .800 126 0.39
Svelte Martin 630 .270 .335 .450 .785 115 0.44
AjaxJones 680 .281 .338 .481 .819 135 0.47
TankTheFrank 650 .270 .330 .450 .780 118 0.47

Bottom Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
Angry Snow Monkey 540 .240 .295 .410 .705 80 2.28
pfrog 400 .243 .306 .411 .717 61 2.45
Nompton 350 .245 .300 .390 .690 50 2.88
JLPo 410 .230 .300 .395 .695 59 2.90
adawk91 225 .220 .255 .375 .630 27 4.67