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2016 Community Projections Results: Adrian Beltre

Congrats to Rossome!

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

That old man is pretty dang good at baseball.  2016 marked the final year of his original six year deal for $90 million dollars.   In those six years Adrian averaged:

623 PA, .305 / .358 / .516, 27.8 HR, 93.8 RBI,  6.3 bWAR, 5.6 fWAR

He never had a single bad season and has been the team's leader for the past several years.  What a freaking signing.  I'll always treasure having watched Adrian Beltre play everyday.

The commenter who came the closest in projection was: Rossome!

Notes

  • OPT+ is an indicator of how a projection compared to the LSB Average.  100 is average, 110 is 10% better than average, and 90 is 10% worse than average.
  • SCORE is an average of the number of standard deviations away from the actual results for each projected value also known as a Z-Score.
  • FanGraphs Depth Charts is from FanGraphs.com using their hybrid of ZiPS and Steamer and manually determined playing time.
  • The number in parentheses after LSB Average is the total number of entries for this player.
  • Spreadsheet with all entries

Results

PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
2016 Season 640.0 .300 .358 .521 .879 123 0.00
2015 Season 519.0 .287 .334 .453 .787 82 2.19
FanGraphs Depth Charts 588.0 .291 .343 .458 .801 96 1.51
LSB Average (84) 594.8 .292 .348 .467 .815 100 1.25


Top Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
Rossome 631 .308 .361 .511 .872 121 0.40
TRO_GT 645 .297 .358 .490 .848 116 0.47
Jus-10 650 .300 .360 .480 .840 115 0.59
huebone 629 .303 .348 .497 .845 114 0.60
Teddy Smilecrotch 650 .305 .370 .500 .870 122 0.63

Bottom Five

Commenter PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPT+ SCORE
Angry Snow Monkey 475 .285 .340 .450 .790 75 2.39
bigsteve 575 .280 .325 .430 .755 85 2.48
G had 550 .274 .327 .444 .771 83 2.54
RobGordon 450 .275 .340 .420 .760 66 3.11
ok.fester 465 .264 .327 .419 .746 65 3.51