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Texas Rangers projections: PECOTA predicts sub-.500 season for Texas

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Baseball Prospectus has released their PECOTA projections, and Texas is projected to end up 80-82

Adrian Beltre just saw PECOTA's Rangers projection
Adrian Beltre just saw PECOTA's Rangers projection
Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

Texas Rangers projections: PECOTA, the projection system Baseball Prospectus utilizes, has spit out its projections for the 2016 season, and Texas is projected to finish with an 80-82 record this year.  That puts the Rangers third in the A.L. West, behind the Astros (87-75) and the M's (84-78).

In looking at the numbers, PECOTA appears to be bearish on the team's pitching staff...Texas is projected to finish with the 4th most runs in the A.L., but 14th in runs allowed, better than only Baltimore.  The only pitcher PECOTA has better than 1.4 WARP is Cole Hamels, at 2.4.

Among the other interesting projections league-wide, PECOTA has Cleveland as the best team in the A.L. with 92 wins, trailing only the 94 win Dodgers in all of baseball.  And the defending World Series champion Kansas City Royals, who PECOTA has been bearish on the past few years, is projected to end up with just 76 wins, while finishing last in the American League (by a fair margin) in runs scored.