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2018 Community Projections Results - Ryan Rua

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MLB: Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

Why did I pick Ryan Rua as one of the projections? I honestly don’t remember a specific reason other than I wasn’t sure who would get playing time and I thought maybe he’d get like 400 PA this year. This really should have been Jurickson Profar. Profar had a great year and finally delivered on some of that top prospect promise. Ryan Rua... did not.

Congrats to Coylio who had the lowest projection score! Here’s the link to the spreadsheet with everyone’s score.

As a reminder, the scoring is using Z-Score, or the number of standard deviations away from the actual result, for each of the provided categories, PA, AVG, OBP, and SLG for hitters. For pitchers the categories were IP, ERA, SO9, BB9, and HR9.

The OPT+ number indicates how optimistic a projection was compared to the LSB average. A OPT+ of 115 is 15% more optimistic than average and an OPT+ of 85 is 15% more pessimistic than average.

Ryan Rua - Totals

Group PA AVG OBP SLG OPS AB TB wOBA RC OPT+ SCORE
Group PA AVG OBP SLG OPS AB TB wOBA RC OPT+ SCORE
2018 Season 147.0 .194 .221 .360 .581 142.1 51.1 .243 11.3 61 0.00
2017 Season 144.0 .217 .294 .333 .627 129.8 43.2 .279 12.7 68 1.04
FanGraphs Depth Charts 77.0 .231 .292 .383 .675 70.9 27.2 .294 7.9 43 1.37
LSB Average (58) 174.5 .236 .301 .387 .688 159.7 61.8 .301 18.6 100 1.39

Ryan Rua - Top 5

Top 5 PA AVG OBP SLG OPS AB TB wOBA RC OPT+ SCORE
Top 5 PA AVG OBP SLG OPS AB TB wOBA RC OPT+ SCORE
Coylio 92 .187 .220 .373 .593 88.3 32.9 .247 7.2 39 0.36
KevinWC 67 .197 .231 .360 .591 64.2 23.1 .250 5.3 29 0.37
Canada's Greatest Ranger Fan 89 .190 .255 .361 .616 81.9 29.6 .264 7.5 40 0.51
capps1 90 .190 .250 .340 .590 83.3 28.3 .254 7.1 38 0.61
BUHMoney 88 .210 .240 .333 .573 84.7 28.2 .246 6.8 36 0.71

Ryan Rua - Bottom 5

Bottom 5 PA AVG OBP SLG OPS AB TB wOBA RC OPT+ SCORE
Bottom 5 PA AVG OBP SLG OPS AB TB wOBA RC OPT+ SCORE
BaseballTown 285 .262 .338 .419 .757 255.7 107.1 .332 36.2 194 2.55
Philar 250 .270 .360 .410 .770 219.2 89.9 .341 32.4 174 2.64
Omicron13 300 .265 .345 .415 .760 267.3 110.9 .335 38.3 206 2.66
casew 300 .265 .330 .450 .780 273.5 123.1 .337 40.6 218 2.79
NHRanger 437 .288 .335 .399 .734 408.2 162.9 .324 54.6 293 3.16