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2018 Community Projections Results - Matt Bush

MLB: Houston Astros at Texas Rangers Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Okay, for you this is Wednesday. For me, I wrote this last Sunday night as I put together all of this week’s projection results posts. Let me tell you, after doing Doug Fister, Matt Moore, and now Matt Bush, there’s not a lot of feel good vibes coming out of me when I look at how Rangers pitchers did. At this point my best feedback is that the season’s over and they can’t hurt us anymore. Also, I didn’t do a LeClerc projection, but he had a great year so kudos to him.

Congrats to NHRanger who had the lowest projection score! Here’s the link to the spreadsheet with everyone’s score.

As a reminder, the scoring is using Z-Score, or the number of standard deviations away from the actual result, for each of the provided categories, PA, AVG, OBP, and SLG for hitters. For pitchers the categories were IP, ERA, SO9, BB9, and HR9.

The OPT+ number indicates how optimistic a projection was compared to the LSB average. A OPT+ of 115 is 15% more optimistic than average and an OPT+ of 85 is 15% more pessimistic than average.

Matt Bush - Totals

Group IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP RAA OPT+ SCORE
Group IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP RAA OPT+ SCORE
2018 Season 23.0 4.70 7.43 5.48 1.17 4.82 0.1 1 0.00
2017 Season 52.3 3.78 9.97 3.27 1.20 3.56 7.5 79 1.95
FanGraphs Depth Charts 55.0 3.82 9.32 3.01 1.14 3.54 8.1 85 1.93
LSB Average (50) 62.0 3.48 9.07 2.91 1.14 3.55 9.5 100 2.12

Matt Bush - Top 5

Top 5 IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP RAA OPT+ SCORE
Top 5 IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP RAA OPT+ SCORE
NHRanger 27.0 4.87 7.70 4.10 1.80 5.21 -1.1 -11 1.09
KRO 25.0 4.30 7.80 3.00 1.30 4.10 2.1 22 1.21
panzratak 42.0 4.25 8.00 2.70 1.20 3.81 4.9 52 1.49
MonkeyEpoxy 52.0 4.11 9.10 3.30 1.30 3.91 5.5 58 1.72
Richard Hiney, esq 55.0 3.90 9.10 3.40 1.10 3.66 7.4 77 1.75

Matt Bush - Bottom 5

Bottom 5 IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP RAA OPT+ SCORE
Bottom 5 IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP RAA OPT+ SCORE
vani1a 72.0 2.89 10.10 2.90 0.90 2.98 15.0 159 2.80
drstrat82 69.0 3.12 9.10 1.70 0.80 2.66 16.9 178 2.99
skaks 81.0 3.12 9.50 2.20 0.70 2.59 20.4 215 3.10
Gdawg 85.0 2.15 9.00 2.50 0.90 3.09 16.7 176 3.13
snorlaxman 150.0 2.79 9.50 4.00 1.40 4.20 11.0 116 3.17